NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	82		Excitement	5.6 [683]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): +11.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	95		Comeback	1.8 [881]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -15.8%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lazaro Borrell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	5	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.04
Vernon Maxwell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rashard Lewis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	16	53%	0.05	4	-0.11	2	50%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	30%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	10	42%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Gary Payton	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	0.05	17	50%	-0.05	3	-0.06	8	50%	-0.04
Vin Baker	-0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.04	0.02	16	42%	-0.09	3	-0.06	6	33%	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	11	67%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.01	0.05	13	70%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	19	43%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	10	53%	0.00	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.02
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	11	33%	-0.03	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	33.4	15.4	27.4	2.4	28.9	132.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +31.8%

POR +5.1%

POR +0.0%

POR +9.3%

POR +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	POR	NBA	SEA	POR	NBA
this game	14.4	17.1	15.2	89.1	104.4	101.7
season	14.9	15.9		103.5	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.4		99.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.7	16.0	13.7	13.1	14.4
POR	16.6	15.3	16.3	20.6	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lazaro Borrell	4	3	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-17	21	16.0	14.3	1.72	12.0	17.3	-5.31
Shammond Williams	10	11	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-15	17	7.7	15.2	-7.47	18.3	17.0	1.30
Vernon Maxwell	40	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-13	13	13.1	15.3	-2.23	18.3	16.2	2.17
Greg Foster	4	6	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-8	3	23.5	13.9	9.56	19.5	17.0	2.54
Ruben Patterson	62	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-11	9	14.7	13.7	0.93	16.6	18.2	-1.64
Vin Baker	67	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-12	11	15.0	12.5	2.52	17.6	15.9	1.65
Horace Grant	66	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.02	-13	0	-13	13.7	16.0	-2.34	16.2	19.3	-3.10
Gary Payton	90	88	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	-2	-9	13.8	39.0	-25.19	17.2	15.7	1.52
Rashard Lewis	70	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.08	-15	2	-17	14.8	13.0	1.79	17.3	16.7	0.59
Brent Barry	47	45	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	0.03	-24	11	-35	15.9	12.8	3.14	16.8	17.4	-0.57

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	75	76	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-3	19	17.4	16.1	1.30	14.3	14.6	-0.32
Brian Grant	39	38	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	-1	15	17.9	16.6	1.34	15.7	13.4	2.26
Damon Stoudamire	60	62	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	1	11	16.3	18.7	-2.34	14.4	14.2	0.24
Bonzi Wells	55	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	4	5	17.8	16.1	1.78	14.0	14.9	-0.98
Steven Smith	68	71	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	7	-1	16.2	19.8	-3.55	13.7	16.5	-2.74
Detlef Schrempf	56	55	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	9	-5	16.9	17.5	-0.62	13.6	15.4	-1.80
Jermaine O'Neal	35	36	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.11	2	11	-9	15.7	18.0	-2.26	15.4	13.7	1.74
Greg Anthony	31	30	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	12	-11	18.7	16.3	2.34	14.2	14.4	-0.24
Stacey Augmon	15	16	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	13	-13	20.9	16.4	4.47	13.7	14.5	-0.81
Rasheed Wallace	21	21	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	12	-11	16.2	17.4	-1.16	15.9	13.9	2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 74, POR 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.7,0.74,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
TOR 75, ATL 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.0%
POR 87, LAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.95,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1	94.0%