inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 75 Excitement5.4 [455] MVPAlvin Williams (TOR): +9.6%
Atlanta Hawks 86 Comeback1.9 [660] LVPTracy McGrady (TOR): -17.0%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alvin Williams0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.010.015110%0.111-0.0100%0.00
John Thomas0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.01762%0.0200.002100%0.02
Michael Stewart0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Willis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vince Carter-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03-0.06-0.02-0.051639%-0.0300.00450%-0.02
Charles Oakley-0.080,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.01714%-0.0800.0000%0.00
John Wallace-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1-0.11-0.01-0.02520%-0.053-0.0500%0.00
Micheal Williams-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.040.0030%-0.071-0.0400%0.00
Dee Brown-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.12-0.01-0.02712%-0.091-0.022100%0.01
Reggie Slater-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.040.02544%-0.081-0.04650%-0.04
Doug Christie-0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.03-0.050.031750%-0.091-0.03862%-0.01
Tracy McGrady-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.14-0.04-0.01450%-0.016-0.16450%-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.070.070.060.00-0.01584%0.112-0.04989%0.04
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.00475%0.051-0.02850%-0.04
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.01-0.001757%0.042-0.04850%-0.04
Mark West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Roshown McLeod00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Grant Long0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.01-0.00442%-0.011-0.03475%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01420%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Steven Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.03-0.031255%0.044-0.097100%0.03
Chris Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.01536%-0.052-0.03475%0.01
Tyrone Corbin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.11-0.020.01713%-0.121-0.0110%-0.02
Mookie Blaylock0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.15-0.02-0.01621%-0.084-0.0820%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.21.528.315.832.02.734.5145.0
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +27.7%
ATL +15.6%
ATL +5.6%
TOR -0.9%
ATL +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORATLNBATORATLNBA
this game15.016.815.882.495.699.6
season15.616.799.097.2
opponent16.315.994.9101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR13.214.517.115.515.0
ATL18.115.518.915.116.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Willis320.04-0.540.57-0.022-131511.015.1-4.1420.516.73.75
Alvin Williams3535-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-121314.515.3-0.8419.615.14.53
John Thomas3839-0.12-0.380.27-0.09-1-10914.315.5-1.1718.915.33.64
John Wallace3737-0.12-0.380.260.02-5-6114.415.4-1.0915.517.8-2.24
Reggie Slater2828-0.14-0.360.21-0.140-111113.315.8-2.4816.916.80.03
Micheal Williams1614-0.15-0.350.21-0.09-2-9718.914.24.7818.916.52.40
Michael Stewart2121-0.23-0.270.030.06-10-1-916.514.51.9813.317.9-4.57
Dee Brown4646-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.11-6-5-114.715.3-0.5714.619.2-4.59
Charles Oakley5051-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.15-6-5-115.814.01.7317.416.11.38
Doug Christie7272-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.07-9-2-714.317.7-3.3917.314.92.36
Vince Carter6362-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.15-7-4-315.713.52.2217.216.01.16
Tracy McGrady4643-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.05-121-1315.314.70.6615.118.4-3.33

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Johnson48500.430.070.360.1792715.118.8-3.6215.015.00.00
Steven Smith66660.420.080.340.101101117.714.33.4115.014.90.11
Alan Henderson61600.330.170.170.1956-117.814.83.0114.416.2-1.76
Dikembe Mutombo61620.320.180.130.0592718.513.45.0515.314.31.06
Chris Crawford41400.240.26-0.030.1247-316.716.9-0.2315.514.60.85
Grant Long39410.230.27-0.030.0956-114.718.5-3.7815.814.41.38
Tyrone Corbin34360.210.29-0.070.1338-515.517.7-2.1915.614.61.01
Mookie Blaylock63640.210.29-0.080.1529-718.014.13.8414.615.9-1.32
Mark West19180.090.41-0.320.0038-512.917.9-4.9914.515.1-0.62
LaPhonso Ellis16160.010.49-0.47-0.02110-918.916.42.5613.715.3-1.59
Roshown McLeod220.000.50-0.50-0.0938-50.017.2-17.2213.015.0-2.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 100, DAL 1100.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,195.2%
UTA 85, NOH 920.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,194.8%
UTA 108, OKC 1160.5,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.73,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,194.7%