inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 89 Excitement8.3 [209] MVPMichael Finley (DAL): +16.1%
Atlanta Hawks 85 Comeback1.1 [647] LVPJim Jackson (ATL): -22.3%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0.160,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.160.140.030.012163%0.1600.00786%0.05
Hubert Davis0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.05-0.00757%0.0800.0000%0.00
Greg Buckner-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.02-0.03430%0.021-0.03250%-0.01
Erick Strickland-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00831%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Cedric Ceballos-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00633%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Shawn Bradley-0.050,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.00729%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Steve Nash-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.090.04-0.120.011055%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Sean Rooks-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.04-0.00644%-0.022-0.07475%-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11-0.01-0.11-0.011644%-0.1100.004100%0.02

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.020.00550%0.0100.0020%-0.03
Dion Glover0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.090.01-0.04832%-0.0400.00650%-0.05
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.040.01456%-0.041-0.03862%0.00
Chris Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.00-0.0030%-0.052-0.0400%0.00
Roshown McLeod0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.02-0.01517%-0.072-0.052100%0.01
Bimbo Coles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.06-0.09-0.021238%-0.111-0.022100%0.01
Alan Henderson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18-0.180.02-0.190.011662%-0.113-0.07786%0.01
Jason Terry0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22-0.22-0.10-0.120.001327%-0.201-0.0200%0.00
Jim Jackson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,-0.17,-0.22-0.22-0.03-0.21-0.022144%-0.071-0.15367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.11.827.318.625.22.431.9133.4
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +48.4%
DAL +10.1%
ATL -18.4%
DAL +9.9%
DAL +0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALATLNBADALATLNBA
this game15.716.915.2100.096.6101.7
season14.815.4104.299.3
opponent15.214.8105.1104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.716.415.016.715.7
ATL16.616.416.318.516.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Nash66660.68-0.180.870.3611-71815.017.4-2.4017.016.50.47
Dirk Nowitzki68670.59-0.090.690.397-31015.615.9-0.3317.614.82.81
Michael Finley64640.53-0.030.550.327-31015.216.9-1.7617.714.82.90
Shawn Bradley45440.350.150.190.3213-215.316.0-0.6917.216.60.52
Greg Buckner55520.320.180.150.3204-415.915.20.7716.018.2-2.29
Hubert Davis24230.080.42-0.340.14-26-815.715.60.0818.216.41.73
Erick Strickland44450.050.45-0.39-0.0022015.316.0-0.6116.217.7-1.47
Sean Rooks4243-0.000.50-0.500.03-15-616.614.81.8817.016.80.15
Cedric Ceballos3736-0.100.60-0.710.04-59-1416.914.72.2215.118.2-3.12

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaPhonso Ellis46450.20-0.700.90-0.048-122016.916.90.0316.814.52.32
Lorenzen Wright23210.07-0.570.640.041-5618.116.51.6116.915.31.58
Dion Glover44-0.02-0.480.460.04-2-2019.016.82.2012.015.8-3.82
Chris Crawford87-0.12-0.380.260.06-62-821.016.54.5112.615.9-3.34
Bimbo Coles5658-0.20-0.300.10-0.407-111815.718.9-3.1615.815.30.51
Roshown McLeod2828-0.30-0.20-0.100.08-139-2218.516.12.4013.916.4-2.51
Jim Jackson7980-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.42-2-2016.322.4-6.1815.913.72.21
Dikembe Mutombo6466-0.510.01-0.52-0.42-3-1-216.717.4-0.7115.715.60.06
Alan Henderson6567-0.550.05-0.60-0.49-2-2016.318.6-2.2615.316.6-1.25
Jason Terry6769-0.590.09-0.68-0.35-84-1217.614.53.1215.615.7-0.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.37,0.53,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.45,0.26,0
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 94, BOS 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.12,0.16,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.2,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.28,0.32,0.17,092.4%
TOR 95, ATL 880.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.04,091.8%
POR 88, PHI 820.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.04,091.7%