inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 118 Excitement6.5 [505] MVPShaquille O'Neal (LAL): +16.9%
Denver Nuggets 108 Comeback1.5 [1044] LVPRon Harper (LAL): -7.2%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0.170,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.170.090.090.012071%0.304-0.131675%0.01
Brian Shaw0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.130.080.046108%0.191-0.031100%0.00
Glen Rice0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.03-0.011362%0.1100.006100%0.05
Robert Horry0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.040.00383%0.102-0.0600%0.00
Devean George0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
A.C. Green-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Travis Knight-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Rick Fox-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01533%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.04-0.01560%0.042-0.0900%0.00
Kobe Bryant-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.010.012046%-0.041-0.01875%-0.01
Ron Harper-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01350%-0.012-0.06475%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Herren0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.10-0.010.09-0.02671%0.143-0.04560%-0.01
Chris Gatling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.07-0.010.021364%0.0500.001385%0.04
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0-0.000.03-0.010.011456%0.021-0.024100%0.02
Popeye Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
James Posey0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.001347%-0.021-0.024100%0.02
Nick Van Exel0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.040.001652%-0.012-0.041100%0.01
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.01-0.020.031553%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Raef LaFrentz0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01933%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.429.215.627.32.533.3135.7
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +55.8%
LAL +5.9%
LAL +3.7%
DEN -16.8%
LAL +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDENNBALALDENNBA
this game14.214.615.2118.0108.0101.7
season15.314.8105.6101.5
opponent15.015.1103.798.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL16.413.311.716.214.2
DEN14.313.415.515.114.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robert Horry66660.61-0.110.720.2014-41813.815.1-1.2714.814.10.74
Brian Shaw47500.60-0.100.700.1017-72414.014.4-0.3913.815.3-1.42
Shaquille O'Neal91900.57-0.070.640.1913-31614.115.4-1.3114.713.01.72
Kobe Bryant91900.410.090.320.2173414.412.91.5014.415.7-1.28
Rick Fox27280.310.190.120.1073415.313.91.4315.214.30.97
Derek Fisher34330.130.37-0.240.0728-612.715.1-2.3815.514.11.49
Glen Rice70680.120.38-0.260.0628-614.114.7-0.6414.415.0-0.62
Travis Knight14160.050.45-0.39-0.0128-612.714.5-1.7912.115.0-2.89
Devean George110.000.50-0.500.06-212-147.014.3-7.328.014.6-6.62
Ron Harper2827-0.140.64-0.770.04-616-2216.113.52.5315.114.40.72
A.C. Green3131-0.160.66-0.820.01-616-2216.013.52.4914.814.40.32

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Popeye Jones13110.02-0.520.53-0.011-111211.215.0-3.8211.114.6-3.55
Chris Herren2728-0.18-0.320.14-0.06-4-6215.514.21.2813.814.4-0.60
Ryan Bowen3536-0.19-0.310.13-0.13-2-8615.114.30.7812.915.0-2.13
Chris Gatling5857-0.23-0.270.05-0.08-5-5014.015.3-1.2312.616.4-3.85
Raef LaFrentz6970-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.13-6-4-214.814.00.7515.810.75.02
Nick Van Exel7372-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.14-6-4-214.215.5-1.2814.413.80.60
Keon Clark8483-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.12-8-2-614.216.3-2.1014.214.5-0.34
James Posey8181-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.17-100-1014.714.00.6814.911.43.49
Antonio McDyess6062-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.19-100-1015.513.12.3814.613.61.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.33,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 90, CLE 810.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.45,0.35,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.41,0.32,0.21,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,093.9%
SEA 95, POR 770.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,093.8%
NOK 105, SEA 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,093.8%