NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Excitement	6.1 [562]		MVP	Terrell Brandon (MIN): +11.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	81		Comeback	1.1 [772]		LVP	Jim Jackson (CLE): -20.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.08	0.02	16	63%	0.16	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.03
Wally Szczerbiak	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	10	67%	0.10	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Todd Day	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	6	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	4	27%	-0.02	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Reggie Slater	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	10	50%	-0.00	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	15	50%	0.01	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
William Avery	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	83%	0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.05
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	0.04	12	52%	-0.04	3	-0.05	5	40%	-0.05
Trajan Langdon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	12	28%	-0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	10	50%	-0.05	2	-0.07	8	100%	0.05
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.06	0.01	8	22%	-0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.08	0.01	12	38%	-0.11	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.4	25.5	15.3	27.4	2.3	33.7	130.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +24.6%

MIN +9.9%

MIN +13.5%

CLE -2.5%

MIN +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CLE	NBA	MIN	CLE	NBA
this game	14.6	16.1	15.5	94.7	87.1	100.9
season	15.0	15.3		102.9	98.4
opponent	15.6	15.9		102.6	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.4	18.1	11.7	17.0	14.6
CLE	17.0	17.9	16.0	13.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrell Brandon	72	72	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.14	20	-11	31	14.1	16.0	-1.89	15.9	16.8	-0.93
LaPhonso Ellis	55	54	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.20	12	-3	15	15.1	13.8	1.33	15.9	16.3	-0.43
Wally Szczerbiak	77	74	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	0	9	13.8	18.1	-4.30	16.1	15.9	0.17
Todd Day	54	51	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	7	-5	15.0	14.0	1.09	15.8	16.4	-0.62
Kevin Garnett	73	71	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	5	-1	14.8	13.9	0.86	15.3	18.8	-3.52
Reggie Slater	29	28	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	7	-5	15.2	14.3	0.92	17.6	15.4	2.13
Chauncey Billups	41	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	2	5	14.0	15.0	-1.09	16.4	15.8	0.62
Rasho Nesterovic	33	33	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	9	-9	12.6	15.6	-2.96	16.9	15.6	1.28
Sam Mitchell	18	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	9	-9	18.1	13.8	4.30	15.9	16.1	-0.17
William Avery	23	21	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.10	-11	20	-31	16.0	14.1	1.89	16.8	15.9	0.93

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mihm	37	37	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-13	17	15.4	16.6	-1.18	13.8	15.1	-1.29
Clar. Weatherspoon	62	63	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-8	7	15.3	17.6	-2.34	14.3	15.1	-0.84
Jim Jackson	70	72	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-7	5	16.0	16.3	-0.29	14.0	16.5	-2.52
Cedric Henderson	29	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-5	1	16.6	15.8	0.78	14.4	14.7	-0.30
Bimbo Coles	35	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.12	-3	-6	3	16.7	15.7	0.96	15.9	13.7	2.26
Andre Miller	69	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	2	-13	15.8	16.8	-1.01	14.3	15.2	-0.86
Chris Gatling	54	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	0	-9	16.5	15.6	0.90	14.9	14.1	0.79
Robert Traylor	33	34	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	3	-15	17.7	15.2	2.54	15.4	14.1	1.31
Trajan Langdon	76	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	-2	-5	15.9	16.9	-0.97	14.8	13.6	1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.45,0.35,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.41,0.32,0.21,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, GSW 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.27,0.17,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.0%
LAL 118, DEN 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.33,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0	93.9%
CHI 115, PHX 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.48,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.06,0.15,0.11,0.03,0,0	93.5%