NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	80		Excitement	3.9 [1012]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +10.7%
New York Knicks	93		Comeback	1.1 [768]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -9.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Robinson	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	18	56%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	62%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	10	45%	0.01	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Dial	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	7	14%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	19	37%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.03	9	72%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	0.02	3	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	16	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.04
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	16	58%	0.08	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	17	50%	0.06	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	3	25%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.6	28.4	20.3	30.5	2.5	31.2	141.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +43.6%

NYK +9.7%

NYK +4.8%

SAS -10.9%

NYK +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NYK	NBA	SAS	NYK	NBA
this game	16.6	15.2	15.2	87.9	103.3	101.7
season	15.5	16.1		101.6	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.4		98.8	95.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	18.3	15.8	16.7	15.6	16.6
NYK	15.1	16.9	12.8	16.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Kersey	22	22	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.11	5	-18	23	18.0	16.1	1.92	15.0	15.3	-0.23
Derrick Dial	17	18	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-16	19	13.4	17.3	-3.91	17.6	14.6	2.92
Felton Spencer	3	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	9.3	16.8	-7.51	22.0	15.1	6.93
Samaki Walker	50	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-14	15	15.7	17.7	-2.07	15.2	15.2	0.05
Jaren Jackson	36	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-12	11	15.9	17.0	-1.07	14.7	15.6	-0.88
Antonio Daniels	64	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-5	-3	16.9	16.0	0.90	15.7	14.1	1.67
David Robinson	52	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-1	-11	17.3	15.6	1.71	15.3	15.1	0.14
Mario Elie	67	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	1	-15	16.6	16.5	0.18	15.2	15.3	-0.09
Tim Duncan	77	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.07	-15	2	-17	17.0	14.4	2.56	15.0	16.4	-1.41
Avery Johnson	67	66	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	0.05	-24	11	-35	17.0	15.5	1.43	14.5	17.3	-2.82

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	80	79	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.10	17	-4	21	15.1	15.8	-0.65	16.3	18.5	-2.20
Larry Johnson	73	74	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.00	20	-7	27	15.4	14.3	1.14	17.4	13.3	4.06
Allan Houston	78	80	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-2	17	15.1	15.7	-0.61	16.6	16.2	0.47
Patrick Ewing	61	62	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.05	6	7	-1	15.3	15.1	0.23	16.4	17.1	-0.75
Kurt Thomas	43	43	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.19	-3	16	-19	14.8	15.6	-0.78	16.2	16.9	-0.68
Chris Childs	48	48	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.20	-6	19	-25	16.4	13.9	2.56	15.7	17.6	-1.96
John Wallace	25	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	16	-19	15.6	15.1	0.52	16.3	16.7	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 82, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CLE 76, NOH 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
MIL 106, BOS 120	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.4%