NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	92		Excitement	6.0 [603]		MVP	Lawrence Funderburke (SAC): +12.3%
Sacramento Kings	105		Comeback	7.9 [383]		LVP	Jason Williams (SAC): -17.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.01	8	74%	0.17	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
Eddie Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	18	57%	0.06	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dale Ellis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	1	75%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Chucky Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	7	19%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Baron Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	7	47%	-0.02	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	12	54%	0.04	4	-0.13	4	75%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	17	42%	-0.03	3	-0.11	6	83%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.00	7	71%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	10	55%	0.09	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.08	0.04	18	58%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.04	0.01	21	57%	0.11	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	12	44%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	6	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	-0.00	10	24%	-0.09	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	28.2	15.8	23.2	1.7	29.0	123.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +18.5%

CHH -5.5%

SAC +6.7%

SAC +27.4%

SAC +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	SAC	NBA	CHH	SAC	NBA
this game	15.4	14.2	15.2	94.8	107.1	101.7
season	14.9	13.8		101.5	102.9
opponent	14.7	15.1		100.7	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.0	14.4	14.6	18.2	15.4
SAC	10.8	15.0	15.4	16.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Fuller	20	20	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.12	-2	-11	9	14.5	15.6	-1.05	16.0	13.7	2.37
Ricky Davis	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-11	9	13.0	15.5	-2.48	21.0	13.8	7.20
Dale Ellis	10	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-11	9	16.9	15.2	1.69	13.9	14.2	-0.30
Chucky Brown	30	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-9	5	15.2	15.5	-0.26	15.7	13.4	2.31
Baron Davis	37	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-10	7	15.5	15.3	0.26	15.8	13.1	2.69
Anthony Mason	85	85	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.08	-3	-10	7	15.0	18.0	-2.99	13.7	17.3	-3.63
Eddie Robinson	10	11	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-5	-3	16.6	15.2	1.36	17.8	13.7	4.12
David Wesley	77	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-10	7	15.0	16.7	-1.72	13.7	16.0	-2.37
Derrick Coleman	70	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	-1	-11	15.6	14.9	0.63	13.5	15.7	-2.17
Elden Campbell	74	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.29	-8	-5	-3	15.5	15.0	0.56	13.6	16.0	-2.46
Eddie Jones	68	69	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.17	-18	5	-23	15.9	14.2	1.72	13.4	16.1	-2.71

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Corbin	34	33	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-6	25	15.2	13.6	1.64	16.7	14.7	1.99
Vlade Divac	88	86	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.12	17	-4	21	14.1	14.9	-0.82	15.7	13.3	2.38
Tony Delk	39	37	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	4	5	15.5	13.3	2.24	16.7	14.6	2.14
Jon Barry	49	48	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	3	7	15.5	12.8	2.65	15.8	15.0	0.81
Lawrence Funderburke	37	36	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	8	-3	14.7	13.9	0.82	15.6	15.2	0.37
Chris Webber	71	72	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	9	-5	14.0	14.6	-0.59	14.9	16.6	-1.70
Nick Anderson	49	49	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	10	-7	12.8	15.5	-2.65	15.0	15.8	-0.81
Corliss Williamson	49	49	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	10	-7	12.8	15.5	-2.65	15.0	15.8	-0.81
Jason Williams	59	60	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	9	-5	13.3	15.5	-2.24	14.6	16.7	-2.14
Peja Stojakovic	15	15	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.07	-9	22	-31	16.1	13.8	2.25	13.8	15.7	-1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.35,0.23,0.18,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.62,0.68,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.85,1	93.0%
ORL 97, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.96,1	92.3%
CLE 88, PHX 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.89,0.99,1,0.98,1	92.2%