inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 97 Excitement7.4 [380] MVPPrimoz Brezec (CHA): +15.5%
Charlotte Bobcats 102 Comeback7.2 [374] LVPDeShawn Stevenson (ORL): -19.5%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.04-0.01750%0.031-0.02862%-0.05
Mario Kasun0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stacey Augmon0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Grant Hill-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.010.03-0.030.001858%0.052-0.067100%0.05
Tony Battie-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.01-0.01829%-0.0300.001100%0.01
Jameer Nelson-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.011649%-0.002-0.03580%0.01
Kelvin Cato-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01340%-0.032-0.044100%0.03
Dwight Howard-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08-0.00-0.050.031270%0.105-0.18683%0.01
DeShawn Stevenson-0.200,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2-0.08-0.090.021032%-0.161-0.04250%-0.05

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Primoz Brezec0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.150.150.050.110.00973%0.202-0.05450%-0.02
Bernard Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.060.09-0.00775%0.191-0.04250%-0.04
Brevin Knight0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.110.110.020.110.021554%0.131-0.025100%0.03
Matt Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.01955%0.031-0.034100%0.02
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.00744%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00556%0.021-0.04667%-0.01
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.00936%-0.0600.00475%-0.00
Melvin Ely0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.00425%-0.053-0.0800%0.00
Emeka Okafor0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.15-0.01-0.001838%-0.102-0.06933%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.31.734.214.728.22.737.2143.8
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +44.8%
ORL -5.4%
CHA +5.7%
CHA +2.6%
CHA +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLCHANBAORLCHANBA
this game13.715.115.598.0101.0104.0
season14.315.5102.999.0
opponent15.115.5105.4105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL13.111.415.515.013.7
CHA14.617.414.014.415.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario Kasun220.06-0.560.630.012-798.013.8-5.8112.515.1-2.64
Stacey Augmon660.00-0.500.500.03-1-4319.213.35.8210.015.4-5.41
Tony Battie4952-0.06-0.440.38-0.184-91312.614.7-2.1116.313.82.55
Jameer Nelson9396-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.24-2-3113.418.5-5.1115.49.06.41
Hedo Turkoglu5255-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.13-72-914.512.81.6515.115.1-0.08
Kelvin Cato5451-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.17-72-914.612.61.9314.715.5-0.85
DeShawn Stevenson7171-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.390-5513.215.0-1.8714.516.4-1.91
Dwight Howard7578-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.32-50-513.314.8-1.4414.915.9-1.01
Grant Hill7575-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.32-50-513.614.0-0.4015.713.52.19

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Hart59580.74-0.240.980.3613-82113.916.7-2.7415.311.43.85
Brevin Knight66650.59-0.090.690.368-31115.314.70.6213.214.7-1.49
Emeka Okafor89880.480.020.470.3741315.810.15.6813.316.5-3.20
Melvin Ely30300.390.110.280.168-31113.415.8-2.4015.912.73.21
Bernard Robinson37370.270.230.050.2414-314.815.2-0.4415.412.72.77
Jason Kapono45430.180.32-0.13-0.058-31115.215.00.2413.713.7-0.08
Primoz Brezec83800.130.37-0.250.19-27-915.015.6-0.6413.215.6-2.33
Matt Carroll57550.030.47-0.440.12-38-1115.314.80.5613.014.5-1.49
Keith Bogans3939-0.320.82-1.140.03-1217-2916.214.41.8211.515.1-3.60


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 106, LAC 1120.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.95,0.81,0.94,0.99,192.8%
OKC 90, IND 930.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.85,0.68,0.92,192.6%
DET 93, DAL 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.95,0.94,0.98,192.4%