NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	106		Excitement	7.7 [285]		MVP	Terry Dehere (LAC): +17.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	112		Comeback	6.7 [351]		LVP	Chris Mullin (GSW): -20.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Burrell	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.00	17	69%	0.17	2	-0.09	25	88%	0.10
Joe Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	59%	0.04	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Todd Fuller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.07
Andrew DeClercq	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mark Price	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.19,-0.18,-0.16	-0.04	-0.10	0.02	8	50%	-0.08	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.09	0.01	12	46%	-0.04	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21	-0.16	-0.05	-0.01	16	42%	-0.07	5	-0.13	8	87%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.14	0.01	9	75%	0.24	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.05
Darrick Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	4	70%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	10	57%	0.06	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.02
Malik Sealy	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	70%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	4	60%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	13	48%	-0.05	3	-0.10	7	57%	-0.02
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	26	39%	-0.12	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.7	28.2	16.4	29.6	1.7	35.2	139.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +40.2%

GSW -30.7%

LAC +25.3%

LAC +16.7%

GSW -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	14.5	14.9	15.6	108.2	114.3	104.4
season	15.0	15.8		104.4	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.4		105.8	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.9	15.7	16.6	13.8	14.5
LAC	17.4	15.6	12.7	13.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	26	27	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.01	7	-13	20	16.0	14.0	2.04	15.4	14.7	0.72
Felton Spencer	48	48	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-2	-2	13.4	15.5	-2.12	14.8	15.0	-0.19
Bimbo Coles	67	69	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-4	2	14.6	14.2	0.40	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Todd Fuller	6	6	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-3	0	14.8	14.5	0.36	14.7	14.9	-0.24
Chris Mullin	66	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.18	-1	-5	4	14.6	14.3	0.28	14.3	16.1	-1.84
Scott Burrell	27	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-2	-2	15.7	14.1	1.61	17.4	13.9	3.53
Latrell Sprewell	87	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	0	-6	14.1	17.5	-3.43	14.1	20.7	-6.68
Joe Smith	90	89	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.29	-6	0	-6	14.8	11.0	3.81	15.1	12.8	2.32
Mark Price	47	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	-1	-4	14.2	14.7	-0.51	16.1	13.8	2.26
Donyell Marshall	26	26	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	13.8	14.7	-0.89	13.8	15.3	-1.42

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	92	92	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.33	8	-2	10	14.2	25.3	-11.13	14.2	18.3	-4.08
Loy Vaught	86	87	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.37	6	0	6	15.4	11.2	4.24	14.5	14.4	0.15
Brent Barry	45	45	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-8	22	12.2	17.2	-4.97	14.8	14.2	0.64
Terry Dehere	44	45	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.38	4	2	2	15.1	14.7	0.41	14.0	14.9	-0.84
Bo Outlaw	31	31	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.22	3	3	0	14.9	14.9	0.07	16.3	13.7	2.57
Darrick Martin	28	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	5	-4	15.9	14.5	1.36	14.9	14.3	0.55
Rodney Rogers	67	67	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	3	0	14.9	14.9	-0.07	13.7	16.3	-2.57
Malik Sealy	43	43	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	4	-2	15.6	14.3	1.32	14.9	14.2	0.77
Eric Piatkowski	11	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	6	-6	11.1	15.4	-4.28	14.7	14.5	0.22
Lamond Murray	18	17	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	8	-10	15.9	14.7	1.23	15.8	14.2	1.53
Pooh Richardson	25	25	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.04	-9	15	-24	18.6	13.6	5.04	13.4	14.9	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.95,0.81,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.96,1	92.8%
DET 93, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.95,0.94,0.98,1	92.4%
OKC 77, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.24,0.32,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	92.1%