inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 67 Excitement2.3 [1210] MVPJohn Amaechi (ORL): +6.4%
Orlando Magic 103 Comeback1.1 [1221] LVPElton Brand (CHI): -10.2%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Anstey-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.01945%-0.0000.00250%0.00
Fred Hoiberg-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01567%0.023-0.032100%0.00
Dickey Simpkins-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Ruffin-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01337%-0.0100.00250%0.00
Chris Carr-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.08-0.00-0.061443%0.023-0.042100%0.00
Hersey Hawkins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.04350%-0.023-0.012100%0.00
Corey Benjamin-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.05737%-0.012-0.022100%0.01
Will Perdue-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.04125%-0.012-0.02250%-0.01
Randy Brown-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.04729%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Matt Maloney-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.03930%-0.051-0.00250%-0.01
Elton Brand-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.14-0.01-0.05846%-0.045-0.06862%-0.02

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Amaechi0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.00-0.00873%0.071-0.006100%0.03
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.011461%0.032-0.0000%0.00
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01769%0.041-0.00250%-0.01
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.02540%0.0200.0000%0.00
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01957%0.022-0.02367%0.01
Monty Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03450%0.0010.004100%0.00
Derek Strong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.023100%0.0020.0000%0.00
Corey Maggette0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.01-0.011158%0.033-0.04475%0.00
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.021142%-0.0210.002100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.81.631.215.725.11.828.0127.3
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +25.7%
ORL +8.1%
CHI -1.4%
ORL +17.1%
ORL +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIORLNBACHIORLNBA
this game18.313.015.272.8112.0101.7
season16.513.691.8100.4
opponent15.414.999.3102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI19.818.317.417.718.3
ORL13.613.012.113.613.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Ruffin2626-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-343217.518.6-1.0413.512.80.67
Chris Anstey3739-0.09-0.410.310.26-12-241217.818.6-0.7913.013.0-0.04
Corey Benjamin3937-0.11-0.390.290.04-5-312616.419.7-3.2913.212.90.37
Will Perdue3029-0.17-0.330.160.27-15-21618.418.20.1213.312.90.47
Chris Carr4747-0.18-0.320.150.26-15-21617.818.8-1.0113.512.51.04
Matt Maloney6465-0.22-0.280.050.24-16-20418.019.0-1.0313.013.1-0.18
Fred Hoiberg3333-0.23-0.270.030.32-19-17-219.917.42.5813.212.90.34
Hersey Hawkins3943-0.26-0.24-0.030.41-23-13-1018.717.90.8012.013.9-1.87
Dickey Simpkins3737-0.35-0.15-0.200.26-21-15-619.417.51.8312.613.3-0.71
Elton Brand5453-0.39-0.11-0.270.26-22-14-818.218.4-0.2812.913.2-0.23
Randy Brown5451-0.49-0.01-0.490.39-30-6-2419.117.12.0113.212.90.30

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Armstrong49490.53-0.030.55-0.413242812.513.7-1.1818.817.71.14
Ben Wallace46460.52-0.020.53-0.342972212.713.4-0.7418.817.71.09
Bo Outlaw55540.460.040.43-0.423062412.913.2-0.3718.418.10.35
Anthony Johnson48490.420.080.33-0.463062412.713.4-0.7418.418.20.18
John Amaechi41410.390.110.28-0.402791812.313.6-1.2318.018.5-0.42
Michael Doleac33340.110.39-0.28-0.01432-2813.912.51.4319.517.61.98
Corey Maggette54520.080.42-0.33-0.301323-1013.013.1-0.1017.918.8-0.96
Pat Garrity46470.020.48-0.47-0.25927-1813.412.70.7417.519.1-1.53
Monty Williams37370.000.50-0.49-0.11432-2813.212.90.3718.418.20.11
Derek Strong18170.000.50-0.50-0.15531-2612.913.1-0.1716.418.7-2.37
Chucky Atkins3334-0.030.53-0.550.06-339-4214.412.22.1918.018.4-0.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 92, BOS 1070.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
NJN 91, TOR 1090.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
PHX 98, NYK 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,197.1%