NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	92		Excitement	2.4 [1216]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): +6.6%
Boston Celtics	107		Comeback	1.0 [1199]		LVP	Shandon Anderson (NYK): -8.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.00	-0.07	20	51%	0.08	3	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Allan Houston	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	13	35%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	56%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	74%	0.01	2	-0.01	9	56%	-0.01
Travis Knight	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	10	30%	-0.06	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.04	-0.00	0.12	13	61%	-0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	20	62%	0.12	4	-0.08	2	0%	-0.02
Tony Battie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.00	0.06	11	69%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Eric Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	3	-0.02	8	100%	0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	71%	0.02	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	12	59%	0.05	3	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	30.0	15.7	26.3	1.8	26.0	127.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +31.4%

BOS +14.2%

BOS +9.8%

NYK -6.4%

BOS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	16.1	14.5	15.6	98.9	112.6	102.3
season	15.9	15.0		99.6	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.6		98.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.1	16.5	17.6	14.4	16.1
BOS	12.2	13.5	15.1	17.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	44	46	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.53	18	-33	51	15.2	17.0	-1.80	16.2	12.9	3.32
Travis Knight	22	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-13	11	15.4	16.4	-1.00	15.3	14.3	1.03
Howard Eisley	31	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-6	-3	16.2	16.1	0.05	13.3	15.1	-1.79
Shandon Anderson	56	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.45	7	-22	29	15.9	16.5	-0.55	15.2	13.5	1.71
Mark Jackson	62	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-9	3	16.1	16.2	-0.05	15.1	13.3	1.79
Allan Houston	45	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.40	-25	10	-35	16.5	15.8	0.70	13.8	15.2	-1.46
Latrell Sprewell	82	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-7	-1	16.1	16.4	-0.27	14.8	12.6	2.14
Clar. Weatherspoon	74	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	-2	-11	16.5	14.6	1.95	14.4	15.0	-0.60
Kurt Thomas	46	46	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.49	-33	18	-51	16.8	15.5	1.25	12.6	16.3	-3.68

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	81	79	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.36	32	-17	49	14.3	16.1	-1.81	16.1	16.1	0.07
Antoine Walker	74	73	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.27	29	-14	43	14.3	15.3	-1.04	16.3	15.5	0.74
Eric Williams	61	61	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.21	20	-5	25	14.6	14.5	0.09	16.4	15.7	0.72
Erick Strickland	47	46	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	8	-1	14.8	14.2	0.60	17.0	15.3	1.68
Tony Battie	44	42	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.24	16	-1	17	12.6	16.2	-3.52	16.1	16.1	-0.02
Kenny Anderson	48	47	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	7	1	14.2	14.8	-0.60	15.3	17.0	-1.68
Rodney Rogers	35	35	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.24	-4	19	-23	16.8	13.2	3.65	16.3	16.0	0.25
Vitaly Potapenko	30	29	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.33	-9	24	-33	14.9	14.4	0.50	15.6	16.4	-0.79
Walter McCarty	34	33	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.14	-3	18	-21	14.8	14.4	0.46	16.0	16.2	-0.20
Mark Blount	11	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	24	-33	14.9	14.5	0.43	16.0	16.1	-0.14
Kedrick Brown	10	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	27	-39	16.0	14.4	1.65	15.0	16.3	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 67, ORL 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
NJN 91, TOR 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
ATL 80, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%