NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	91		Excitement	2.2 [1283]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +13.5%
Toronto Raptors	109		Comeback	1.0 [1207]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): -12.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sean Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	86%	0.03	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	9	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	15	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	-0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.05	8	69%	0.00	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	0.07	18	37%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	0.00	0.04	12	73%	0.15	1	-0.02	13	85%	0.01
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.00	0.08	7	94%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	-0.00	0.07	12	88%	0.10	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	9	61%	0.06	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.09	-0.00	-0.10	9	35%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maceo Baston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	57%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.01	9	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.0	30.3	17.4	24.5	2.3	26.7	128.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +28.2%

TOR +8.6%

TOR +6.6%

TOR +3.9%

TOR +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	15.0	15.9	15.4	98.9	116.0	105.7
season	15.4	15.6		101.8	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		105.6	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.4	14.5	17.4	12.2	15.0
TOR	14.3	13.7	18.6	17.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	40	42	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.29	10	-28	38	12.1	17.2	-5.10	16.2	15.7	0.52
Darrell Armstrong	56	58	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.23	7	-25	32	13.7	17.1	-3.32	16.5	15.0	1.55
Sean Williams	51	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-22	26	13.7	16.7	-3.07	16.3	15.4	0.94
Bostjan Nachbar	53	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-17	16	14.6	15.6	-0.92	16.2	15.6	0.61
Nenad Krstic	32	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.25	-17	-1	-16	16.6	14.2	2.39	15.4	16.2	-0.82
Josh Boone	33	33	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.28	-22	4	-26	17.8	13.5	4.30	16.2	15.8	0.39
Marcus Williams	62	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.11	-20	2	-22	14.7	15.6	-0.89	15.4	17.0	-1.63
Richard Jefferson	63	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.39	-30	12	-42	16.5	11.9	4.53	15.3	17.2	-1.82
Vince Carter	70	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.10	-21	3	-24	16.0	12.0	3.93	15.9	16.0	-0.16

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Calderon	78	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.18	25	-7	32	16.2	14.7	1.49	15.9	10.9	5.03
Anthony Parker	55	55	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.41	32	-14	46	15.5	16.5	-0.96	16.6	12.8	3.81
Chris Bosh	65	64	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.29	28	-10	38	15.8	16.2	-0.41	16.8	11.0	5.80
Andrea Bargnani	65	65	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.37	30	-12	42	15.3	17.3	-2.00	16.1	12.4	3.66
Carlos Delfino	62	61	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.28	1	17	-16	15.3	17.2	-1.91	13.8	17.5	-3.65
Jamario Moon	32	31	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.30	17	1	16	17.2	15.3	1.91	17.5	13.8	3.65
Kris Humphries	21	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	27	-36	17.3	15.5	1.75	11.1	16.1	-5.03
Maceo Baston	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	13.2	16.1	-2.88	10.2	15.3	-5.11
Darrick Martin	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	15.2	16.0	-0.78	9.8	15.6	-5.82
Juan Dixon	17	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	22	-26	14.4	16.3	-1.92	10.2	16.1	-5.88
Jason Kapono	30	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.29	-11	29	-40	16.9	15.5	1.38	13.7	15.6	-1.90
Rasho Nesterovic	31	29	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.41	-16	34	-50	17.2	15.3	1.94	12.8	16.1	-3.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 80, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
NYK 97, BOS 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
IND 85, MIL 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%