NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	96		Excitement	3.2 [1123]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +8.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	109		Comeback	1.0 [1247]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -13.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Overton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pervis Ellison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	17	47%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	11	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	11	54%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Danny Fortson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01
Eric Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.00	0.01	10	46%	-0.05	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.01	0.04	22	50%	-0.06	5	-0.07	6	67%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.00	-0.05	20	58%	0.09	2	-0.01	8	25%	-0.03
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	12	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	57%	0.03	2	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	5	64%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	80%	0.03	5	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.01	3	58%	-0.03	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	5	43%	-0.01	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.8	28.2	16.4	29.5	2.5	29.7	135.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +36.6%

LAL +5.1%

LAL +6.6%

BOS -2.4%

LAL +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAL	NBA	BOS	LAL	NBA
this game	14.1	13.5	15.2	91.4	104.8	101.7
season	14.7	15.3		102.4	105.6
opponent	15.1	15.1		98.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.5	15.1	13.9	13.8	14.1
LAL	14.2	14.2	12.3	13.4	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pervis Ellison	5	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-12	11	19.0	13.8	5.19	13.7	13.5	0.26
Walter McCarty	28	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.18	5	-18	23	14.4	13.9	0.41	15.9	12.6	3.27
Doug Overton	30	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-11	9	16.1	13.2	2.86	12.9	13.7	-0.84
Danny Fortson	28	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-10	7	13.7	14.2	-0.52	14.2	13.2	0.93
Tony Battie	52	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-11	9	15.0	13.2	1.79	13.4	13.6	-0.23
Eric Williams	30	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	-4	-5	15.4	13.5	1.88	12.8	13.8	-1.03
Vitaly Potapenko	41	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-3	-7	13.6	14.3	-0.73	13.5	13.5	-0.00
Paul Pierce	80	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-7	1	13.4	16.1	-2.65	13.4	13.9	-0.56
Kenny Anderson	78	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-3	-7	13.2	16.7	-3.51	13.6	13.1	0.58
Antoine Walker	81	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	-2	-9	13.6	15.5	-1.82	13.4	13.8	-0.43
Adrian Griffin	72	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.03	-16	3	-19	14.1	14.0	0.08	13.0	14.6	-1.53

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	79	79	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.00	18	-5	23	12.9	15.4	-2.45	14.6	12.3	2.33
Ron Harper	51	52	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.14	18	-5	23	13.5	13.5	-0.06	13.7	14.5	-0.80
A.C. Green	51	52	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.14	18	-5	23	13.5	13.5	-0.06	13.7	14.5	-0.80
Glen Rice	57	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	-2	17	13.3	13.7	-0.41	13.3	15.0	-1.67
Kobe Bryant	70	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.11	8	5	3	13.1	14.2	-1.09	13.5	15.3	-1.83
Derek Fisher	61	61	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	15	-17	13.3	13.7	-0.38	14.4	13.5	0.88
Rick Fox	41	42	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	13	-13	13.1	13.8	-0.70	14.7	13.6	1.13
Brian Shaw	26	26	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	11	-9	14.9	13.0	1.85	15.6	13.5	2.07
Robert Horry	53	53	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.25	-5	18	-23	13.5	13.5	0.06	14.5	13.7	0.80
Travis Knight	26	26	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	17	-21	16.2	12.6	3.64	13.3	14.3	-1.00
Devean George	5	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	16	-19	14.2	13.5	0.74	11.8	14.2	-2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 72, WAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
LAC 76, MEM 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
PHI 75, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%