NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	75		Excitement	2.9 [1189]		MVP	Matt Bonner (SAS): +7.0%
San Antonio Spurs	100		Comeback	1.0 [1307]		LVP	Tony Wroten (PHI): -10.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	10	54%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Drew Gordon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Alexey Shved	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
KJ McDaniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	14	52%	0.00	3	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Henry Sims	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	56%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	8	22%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Brandon Davies	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.16	-0.01	-0.07	14	29%	-0.03	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.17	0.00	0.10	10	90%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.00	9	78%	-0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	61%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	59%	0.05	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	62%	0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	7	14%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	45%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.8	28.2	15.5	24.4	2.3	32.7	126.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +40.3%

SAS +3.0%

SAS +6.8%

PHI -0.4%

SAS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAS	NBA	PHI	SAS	NBA
this game	13.9	14.8	15.1	75.0	100.0	104.2
season	14.9	15.4		94.3	106.9
opponent	14.9	14.8		101.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.7	13.2	14.7	13.2	13.9
SAS	13.0	16.8	13.6	16.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gordon	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-22	19	10.2	14.2	-4.02	16.7	14.7	1.93
JaKarr Sampson	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-22	19	10.2	14.2	-4.02	16.7	14.7	1.93
KJ McDaniels	50	50	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-20	15	12.5	15.4	-2.82	14.9	14.8	0.06
Robert Covington	34	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-29	33	13.2	14.3	-1.13	15.5	14.5	1.07
Nerlens Noel	53	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	-18	11	13.6	14.3	-0.74	14.2	15.6	-1.45
Alexey Shved	26	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.10	-8	-17	9	11.9	14.7	-2.79	15.0	14.8	0.25
Michael Carter-Williams	63	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-20	15	14.5	13.1	1.42	13.7	16.9	-3.27
Luc Mbah a Moute	50	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-21	17	14.9	13.0	1.86	14.7	15.0	-0.37
Brandon Davies	37	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.20	-19	-6	-13	14.5	13.6	0.89	15.3	14.6	0.71
Henry Sims	58	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-10	-5	14.7	12.9	1.84	15.5	14.0	1.52
Tony Wroten	60	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.36	-27	2	-29	14.6	12.9	1.71	15.4	13.9	1.48
Hollis Thompson	57	53	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.48	-33	8	-41	14.4	13.3	1.10	14.5	15.3	-0.80

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	56	59	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.44	33	-8	41	15.2	14.4	0.75	14.6	13.0	1.61
Kawhi Leonard	41	40	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.22	22	3	19	14.9	14.8	0.01	14.3	13.7	0.62
Tony Parker	36	36	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.22	20	5	15	15.1	14.7	0.41	14.5	13.6	0.90
Tim Duncan	33	35	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.21	19	6	13	15.1	14.7	0.36	14.8	13.5	1.31
Matt Bonner	42	42	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.46	26	-1	27	15.5	14.4	1.12	13.8	14.1	-0.24
Boris Diaw	47	45	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.02	7	18	-11	14.2	15.5	-1.28	15.0	13.1	1.91
Aron Baynes	43	42	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	19	-13	13.7	15.7	-1.98	12.7	14.8	-2.13
Cory Joseph	55	56	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	25	-25	14.3	15.6	-1.28	13.7	14.3	-0.66
Manu Ginobili	26	26	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	27	-29	14.0	15.1	-1.10	13.3	14.2	-0.87
Kyle Anderson	44	46	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.15	-4	29	-33	15.5	14.3	1.20	12.9	14.8	-1.88
Austin Daye	43	41	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.17	-6	31	-37	14.7	15.0	-0.27	13.7	14.1	-0.41
Jeff Ayres	34	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.13	4	21	-17	16.2	14.1	2.10	13.8	14.0	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 96, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MIA 107, PHX 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.77,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
MIL 78, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%