NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	76		Excitement	2.9 [1219]		MVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): +9.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	96		Comeback	1.0 [1295]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -19.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Mikki Moore	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Penney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	70%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Lionel Chalmers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	9	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	11	42%	-0.05	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Elton Brand	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	7	38%	-0.04	4	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.20	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.22	-0.00	-0.03	15	35%	-0.12	5	-0.07	10	80%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.01	13	73%	0.12	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	17	49%	0.05	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	8	31%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	70%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	8	50%	0.02	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	40%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.5	29.3	15.7	26.1	2.5	27.4	125.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +34.1%

MEM +1.3%

MEM +2.6%

MEM +11.8%

MEM +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	16.7	15.8	15.5	87.4	106.7	104.0
season	16.0	16.4		103.0	103.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		101.9	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.5	16.2	16.2	17.0	16.7
MEM	14.5	14.5	18.1	16.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zeljko Rebraca	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-19	18	19.1	16.5	2.61	12.0	16.2	-4.18
Kirk Penney	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-21	22	18.1	16.6	1.53	14.5	16.0	-1.44
Lionel Chalmers	36	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-18	16	16.4	17.0	-0.66	16.3	15.4	0.87
Quinton Ross	37	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.11	-8	-12	4	16.8	16.7	0.16	15.6	16.0	-0.35
Mikki Moore	23	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-15	10	17.6	16.5	1.11	17.7	15.1	2.64
Chris Wilcox	50	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-11	2	16.9	16.5	0.36	15.4	16.3	-0.83
Chris Kaman	50	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-10	0	15.7	18.2	-2.56	17.1	14.1	2.95
Bobby Simmons	66	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-10	0	16.3	18.2	-1.97	16.7	13.2	3.49
Elton Brand	44	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	-5	-10	17.0	16.5	0.51	14.4	17.2	-2.82
Rick Brunson	51	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.12	-18	-2	-16	17.0	16.4	0.66	15.4	16.3	-0.87
Corey Maggette	61	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.16	-23	3	-26	17.0	16.2	0.79	15.2	17.3	-2.16

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	48	48	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.19	24	-4	28	16.5	15.1	1.39	16.4	17.1	-0.69
James Posey	58	55	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.09	18	2	16	15.5	16.4	-0.97	17.0	16.3	0.74
Mike Miller	44	43	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	5	10	15.7	15.9	-0.12	16.4	17.1	-0.65
Jason Williams	47	45	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	7	6	15.6	16.1	-0.50	16.3	17.2	-0.86
Shane Battier	58	56	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	12	-4	16.4	14.7	1.70	15.5	18.9	-3.40
Lorenzen Wright	41	40	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	13	-6	16.0	15.7	0.35	17.9	15.8	2.13
Earl Watson	43	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	13	-6	16.1	15.6	0.50	17.2	16.3	0.86
Bonzi Wells	46	44	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	15	-10	15.9	15.7	0.12	17.1	16.4	0.65
Stromile Swift	41	40	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	16	-12	16.0	15.7	0.35	16.4	17.1	-0.69
Dahntay Jones	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	21	-22	14.5	16.0	-1.44	18.1	16.6	1.53
Jake Tsakalidis	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	21	-22	12.4	16.0	-3.61	18.0	16.7	1.33
Ryan Humphrey	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	19	-18	12.0	16.2	-4.18	19.1	16.5	2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 96, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
PHI 75, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
PHI 84, CHI 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%