inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 99 Excitement3.1 [1140] MVPJerry Stackhouse (DET): +9.1%
Detroit Pistons 131 Comeback1.1 [1168] LVPLarry Hughes (GSW): -10.2%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donyell Marshall0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.060.000.02967%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jason Caffey0.030,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.100.000.07975%0.0300.00667%-0.02
Mookie Blaylock0.010,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.010.02861%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Tim Young0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Farmer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03050%0.0010.00250%0.00
Adonal Foyle0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04325%0.0000.0020%0.00
Sam Mack0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vonteego Cummings-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.070.00-0.061530%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Sam Jacobson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.04729%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.080.00-0.00933%-0.042-0.0300%0.00
Billy Owens-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.150.00-0.071127%-0.052-0.03425%-0.02
Larry Hughes-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.000.002544%-0.054-0.05475%-0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.000.011278%0.123-0.0313100%0.05
Grant Hill0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.000.011770%0.103-0.03967%-0.01
Terry Mills0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.000.02590%0.0700.0000%0.00
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.03876%0.022-0.001100%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.011650%0.031-0.014100%0.00
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.080.000.074100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Christian Laettner0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02944%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Jud Buechler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Crotty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.110.000.13692%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.00-0.0310%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Eric Montross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01333%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.02.328.614.625.21.425.6118.7
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +28.6%
DET +16.3%
GSW -2.1%
DET +5.5%
DET +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDETNBAGSWDETNBA
this game15.513.415.299.0132.3101.7
season14.714.197.2104.2
opponent15.314.7103.0105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.115.315.417.515.5
DET12.611.815.214.513.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Young670.00-0.500.500.18-6-262015.215.5-0.3411.913.6-1.71
Tony Farmer13140.00-0.500.500.18-6-262015.315.5-0.2115.013.21.81
Adonal Foyle13140.00-0.500.500.18-6-262015.315.5-0.2115.013.21.81
Sam Mack9100.00-0.500.500.26-9-231415.415.5-0.0512.913.5-0.61
Vonteego Cummings3737-0.09-0.410.330.21-10-221217.114.52.6114.712.72.05
Sam Jacobson3232-0.16-0.340.180.46-21-11-1017.414.62.8614.113.10.96
Billy Owens6461-0.26-0.24-0.030.06-11-211015.615.20.4214.012.61.40
Erick Dampier5960-0.30-0.20-0.100.20-17-15-215.914.91.0812.614.8-2.19
Donyell Marshall6464-0.32-0.18-0.140.00-11-211014.816.7-1.8813.413.5-0.15
Mookie Blaylock7069-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.06-11-211014.617.6-3.0113.014.4-1.37
Jason Caffey5956-0.46-0.04-0.410.16-21-11-1014.616.8-2.1513.213.8-0.61
Larry Hughes7471-0.530.03-0.560.38-31-1-3015.615.20.3513.014.5-1.47

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lindsey Hunter76770.450.050.40-0.252481613.014.8-1.7415.515.6-0.15
Jerry Stackhouse73730.400.100.290.041220-813.214.1-0.9114.917.0-2.07
Grant Hill71730.380.120.27-0.202012813.413.5-0.0815.515.50.01
Christian Laettner56570.320.180.140.031022-1213.213.7-0.4914.516.8-2.36
Jerome Williams54560.320.180.14-0.181715213.912.91.0216.114.71.32
Terry Mills45450.250.25-0.000.01824-1612.514.2-1.7514.316.4-2.10
Michael Curry44450.220.28-0.06-0.452391414.013.01.0016.414.71.65
Eric Montross19180.060.44-0.39-0.291220-812.613.6-1.0716.915.21.71
Mikki Moore24240.060.44-0.39-0.441715215.412.82.5517.714.82.86
John Crotty23230.050.45-0.40-0.19824-1614.813.01.7415.615.50.15
Jud Buechler1090.000.50-0.50-0.26923-1412.913.5-0.6115.415.5-0.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 69, SAS 850.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
TOR 83, BKN 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,197.3%
IND 87, CLE 980.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,197.2%