NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	101		Excitement	2.7 [1186]		MVP	Kenny Anderson (BOS): +9.4%
Vancouver Grizzlies	77		Comeback	1.0 [631]		LVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): -9.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	21	51%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	17	69%	0.09	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	4	75%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	20	59%	0.08	3	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Danny Fortson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	67%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Walter McCarty	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Tony Battie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	0.00	1	75%	-0.01	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	3	12%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.03	3	64%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	14	53%	0.02	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	0.05	8	68%	0.00	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	24	41%	-0.05	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	-0.02	6	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	25.2	15.7	25.2	2.4	25.6	118.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +37.7%

VAN -1.1%

BOS +3.0%

BOS +8.4%

BOS +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	VAN	NBA	BOS	VAN	NBA
this game	14.9	15.8	15.2	107.4	81.9	101.7
season	14.7	15.9		102.4	99.5
opponent	15.0	15.1		105.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	10.6	16.1	15.4	18.1	14.9
VAN	17.8	16.6	14.0	14.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	67	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.24	23	1	22	14.6	15.5	-0.87	15.4	16.9	-1.50
Kenny Anderson	70	71	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.18	21	3	18	14.4	16.3	-1.92	16.0	15.0	1.03
Paul Pierce	65	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	7	10	13.5	17.9	-4.34	16.4	14.3	2.17
Antoine Walker	67	65	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.08	16	8	8	14.3	16.1	-1.80	16.1	15.1	1.02
Vitaly Potapenko	36	37	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.15	16	8	8	11.9	16.7	-4.82	17.9	14.4	3.49
Tony Battie	43	42	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	19	-14	15.3	14.5	0.81	15.3	16.2	-0.84
Eric Williams	56	54	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.09	8	16	-8	16.7	12.1	4.58	15.5	16.2	-0.69
Danny Fortson	25	25	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	18	-12	17.5	13.9	3.57	14.6	16.2	-1.66
Dana Barros	24	23	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	21	-18	16.3	14.4	1.92	15.0	16.0	-1.03
Walter McCarty	17	19	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.12	5	19	-14	18.2	14.1	4.12	13.2	16.4	-3.22

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Milt Palacio	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-21	18	13.6	16.0	-2.38	20.2	14.5	5.67
Felipe Lopez	16	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	-21	18	14.3	16.1	-1.76	18.3	14.2	4.13
Brent Price	18	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.15	-7	-17	10	15.8	15.8	0.00	19.2	13.9	5.27
Cherokee Parks	11	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.12	-7	-17	10	15.0	15.9	-0.88	14.9	14.9	0.05
Doug West	15	15	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-23	22	17.3	15.5	1.85	14.7	14.9	-0.15
Bryant Reeves	13	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-18	12	18.5	15.3	3.21	10.7	15.5	-4.84
Dennis Scott	45	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-19	14	15.4	16.1	-0.77	17.1	12.9	4.28
Grant Long	49	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.19	-14	-10	-4	14.9	16.7	-1.75	16.0	13.7	2.28
Othella Harrington	64	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.12	-18	-6	-12	16.2	14.9	1.29	13.6	17.9	-4.32
Michael Dickerson	72	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	-7	-10	15.7	15.9	-0.17	14.1	17.5	-3.35
Mike Bibby	76	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	-6	-12	15.8	15.8	-0.00	13.9	19.2	-5.27
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	84	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.13	-21	-3	-18	16.1	13.4	2.66	14.3	19.8	-5.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.29,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 97, MIN 76	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
IND 102, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
LAC 114, BKN 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	96.7%