NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	102		Excitement	2.5 [1244]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +7.6%
New York Knicks	86		Comeback	1.0 [1267]		LVP	Lou Amundson (NYK): -6.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.04	11	71%	0.10	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
David West	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	5	92%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Luis Scola	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	5	85%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.08	5	42%	0.03	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Paul George	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.03	9	55%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damjan Rudez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	14	43%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	6	50%	-0.01	5	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	13	44%	0.02	3	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.08	8	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	11	60%	0.00	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.14	0.00	-0.11	10	10%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Ledo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.09	14	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	0.00	0.08	8	60%	-0.04	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	8	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	35.8	16.0	28.2	2.5	30.5	141.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +40.6%

IND +3.0%

IND +6.0%

IND +1.3%

NYK -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	14.1	15.7	15.1	104.1	89.6	104.2
season	16.0	16.1		102.3	98.5
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.3	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.4	13.2	14.9	15.9	14.1
NYK	16.4	15.7	16.4	14.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	53	52	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.41	29	-13	42	13.8	14.3	-0.44	16.6	14.5	2.13
David West	52	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.42	29	-13	42	14.1	14.0	0.14	16.7	14.5	2.20
CJ Miles	53	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	2	12	14.0	14.1	-0.03	17.5	13.4	4.01
Rodney Stuckey	40	41	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	10	-4	13.4	14.5	-1.06	14.8	16.3	-1.49
Ian Mahinmi	43	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.10	5	11	-6	13.8	14.3	-0.51	14.8	16.4	-1.59
Solomon Hill	58	55	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	6	4	14.5	13.4	1.06	16.3	14.8	1.49
Roy Hibbert	31	31	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.26	16	0	16	14.4	13.9	0.44	17.8	14.6	3.22
Paul George	35	33	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.06	5	11	-6	14.3	13.9	0.45	13.7	16.7	-2.99
Luis Scola	46	45	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.45	-13	29	-42	14.0	14.1	-0.14	14.5	16.7	-2.20
Donald Sloan	45	44	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.44	-13	29	-42	14.3	13.8	0.44	14.5	16.6	-2.13
Lavoy Allen	24	23	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	21	-26	14.2	14.0	0.15	14.3	16.1	-1.72
Damjan Rudez	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	13.1	14.2	-1.06	12.6	16.0	-3.41

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Acy	41	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.29	7	-23	30	13.8	17.0	-3.19	14.4	13.8	0.66
Lou Amundson	23	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.22	-13	-3	-10	18.2	14.8	3.37	14.3	14.0	0.27
Jason Smith	56	57	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-19	22	14.8	16.8	-1.96	14.8	13.1	1.68
Cole Aldrich	22	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-9	2	14.6	16.0	-1.32	12.4	14.6	-2.16
Langston Galloway	66	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-14	12	15.9	15.1	0.86	14.7	12.7	1.91
Tim Hardaway Jr.	51	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-16	16	14.5	17.0	-2.49	13.7	14.4	-0.68
Ricky Ledo	46	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-11	6	15.0	16.2	-1.18	13.9	14.2	-0.34
Lance Thomas	49	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.26	-21	5	-26	17.0	14.2	2.83	14.2	13.9	0.30
Shane Larkin	76	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.15	-18	2	-20	15.7	15.5	0.13	13.8	15.3	-1.50
Andrea Bargnani	50	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.28	-24	8	-32	17.3	13.8	3.51	13.6	14.5	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 114, BKN 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	97.9%
ATL 108, IND 92	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
BOS 101, VAN 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.29,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%