NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	2.4 [763]		MVP	Dean Garrett (MIN): +6.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	76		Comeback	1.0 [637]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -12.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thurl Bailey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Greg Foster	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	74%	0.05	2	-0.00	7	86%	-0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	60%	0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	46%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	10	45%	0.01	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	75%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
John Stockton	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andrae Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	0.00	0.09	6	85%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bill Curley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.14	-0.00	-0.11	12	15%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	12	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.00	0.04	18	45%	-0.06	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.4	1.7	25.5	15.0	27.0	1.8	30.0	120.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +40.8%

UTA +4.0%

UTA +3.1%

UTA +1.4%

UTA +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	16.5	16.4	15.8	111.5	86.4	99.6
season	16.4	15.0		102.6	98.6
opponent	15.9	16.0		98.6	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.8	17.9	15.7	17.6	16.5
MIN	19.5	18.1	15.0	13.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	61	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.34	27	-6	33	15.9	17.8	-1.83	16.5	16.3	0.19
Bryon Russell	61	63	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	6	9	17.8	13.5	4.31	18.2	12.0	6.19
Jeff Hornacek	55	56	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.30	24	-3	27	15.6	18.1	-2.50	16.2	16.9	-0.75
Karl Malone	50	51	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.25	22	-1	23	15.9	17.3	-1.42	16.5	16.4	0.09
John Stockton	37	39	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.10	15	6	9	16.8	16.3	0.48	16.2	16.6	-0.36
Shandon Anderson	51	50	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	16	-11	16.5	16.4	0.07	15.2	18.0	-2.76
Howard Eisley	50	49	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	15	-9	16.3	16.8	-0.48	16.6	16.2	0.36
Thurl Bailey	25	25	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.16	-2	23	-25	17.1	16.2	0.84	17.9	15.8	2.08
Greg Foster	33	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	26	-31	18.8	15.1	3.76	15.5	16.9	-1.36
Jacque Vaughn	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	12.3	16.8	-4.56	11.3	16.9	-5.59
Todd Fuller	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	10.8	16.8	-6.03	13.4	16.6	-3.21

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bill Curley	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-21	21	12.5	17.1	-4.57	14.5	16.8	-2.38
Reggie Jordan	23	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-26	31	13.7	17.4	-3.70	17.6	16.1	1.53
Andrae Patterson	23	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-26	31	13.7	17.4	-3.70	17.6	16.1	1.53
Tom Hammonds	8	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-20	19	26.6	15.4	11.21	23.9	15.7	8.14
Dennis Scott	46	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-18	15	16.2	16.7	-0.49	17.0	15.9	1.19
Sam Mitchell	41	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	-13	5	16.9	16.0	0.84	16.5	16.5	0.06
James Robinson	31	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.17	-13	-8	-5	18.1	15.5	2.57	15.2	17.2	-2.00
Bobby Jackson	34	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.10	-13	-8	-5	16.8	16.2	0.54	16.9	16.2	0.69
Malik Sealy	44	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	-7	-7	16.4	16.5	-0.14	16.2	16.7	-0.54
Kevin Garnett	52	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.03	-14	-7	-7	18.2	13.9	4.30	17.5	15.0	2.53
Dean Garrett	52	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.34	-26	5	-31	16.6	16.2	0.45	14.4	19.2	-4.80
Joe Smith	73	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.21	-23	2	-25	15.4	21.3	-5.91	16.1	18.1	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 98, CLE 72	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
BOS 101, VAN 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.29,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
NOH 99, CHA 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	97.4%