inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 89 Excitement3.4 [1085] MVPJoe Smith (MIN): +9.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves 112 Comeback1.4 [1112] LVPLarry Hughes (GSW): -16.0%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sam Jacobson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.090.000.064100%0.0400.003100%0.00
Tony Farmer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00450%0.0000.00250%0.00
Adonal Foyle0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sam Mack0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.021042%-0.0200.00650%-0.00
Billy Owens-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03856%0.024-0.052100%0.00
Donyell Marshall-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.011139%-0.0400.001100%0.00
Jason Caffey-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.040.000.01655%-0.012-0.04887%0.02
Mookie Blaylock-0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.010.01939%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Vonteego Cummings-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.11-0.00-0.021037%-0.063-0.024100%0.01
Larry Hughes-0.160,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.19-0.01-0.041633%-0.093-0.071090%0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.01-0.021164%0.1000.00367%-0.00
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.02-0.04969%0.084-0.04875%0.01
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.041466%0.041-0.00450%-0.01
Terrell Brandon0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.010.021081%0.105-0.08667%-0.02
Dean Garrett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.00567%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tom Hammonds0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Peeler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.021044%-0.0210.00580%0.00
William Avery0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.02237%-0.021-0.02475%-0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.02250%0.013-0.0500%0.00
Malik Sealy0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.040.000.011036%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.01.828.215.824.11.831.3131.0
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +54.6%
GSW -8.7%
MIN +1.3%
MIN +3.9%
GSW -1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWMINNBAGSWMINNBA
this game15.114.915.291.8117.9101.7
season14.715.197.2103.5
opponent15.714.7101.1105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.114.616.714.215.1
MIN14.314.814.016.514.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Farmer1514-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-211913.515.4-1.9418.014.43.64
Sam Mack87-0.00-0.500.500.26-9-14514.915.1-0.2513.315.0-1.74
Adonal Foyle1716-0.01-0.490.490.14-5-181313.515.4-1.9117.614.43.21
Sam Jacobson3633-0.14-0.360.230.13-9-14513.416.1-2.6415.914.31.60
Vonteego Cummings5754-0.20-0.300.100.15-12-11-114.915.4-0.5915.214.50.72
Donyell Marshall5353-0.20-0.300.100.09-10-13315.814.31.4414.515.4-0.83
Mookie Blaylock5354-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.05-9-14515.814.21.6014.515.4-0.96
Jason Caffey6362-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.05-10-13315.115.1-0.0714.216.1-1.88
Erick Dampier6362-0.39-0.11-0.270.02-14-9-516.113.22.9714.615.5-0.90
Billy Owens5655-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.04-14-9-514.615.8-1.2215.314.30.98
Larry Hughes6465-0.47-0.03-0.430.15-21-2-1915.414.50.8514.216.5-2.30

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wally Szczerbiak81820.480.020.46-0.3428-53314.318.1-3.7315.015.9-0.90
Terrell Brandon60600.440.060.37-0.061761114.116.2-2.0715.214.90.39
Kevin Garnett78790.420.080.340.16914-515.312.82.5215.413.81.63
Dean Garrett46450.400.100.29-0.07167915.014.80.1216.014.41.59
Anthony Peeler46470.290.210.080.09716-915.114.70.3715.015.2-0.12
Malik Sealy63650.280.220.06-0.13149514.815.1-0.3514.516.3-1.80
Joe Smith35380.100.40-0.30-0.281310315.014.80.1214.315.6-1.34
William Avery30320.060.44-0.370.09-124-2516.814.02.8315.015.2-0.15
Rasho Nesterovic26270.030.47-0.440.09-225-2715.514.70.7816.114.71.40
Bobby Jackson550.000.50-0.50-0.21716-912.415.0-2.6314.015.2-1.16
Tom Hammonds550.000.50-0.50-0.21716-912.415.0-2.6314.015.2-1.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 71, PHX 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
CHI 94, CLE 1130.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
GSW 86, TOR 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%