NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	94		Excitement	8.5 [184]		MVP	Armen Gilliam (UTA): +30.5%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	12.2 [179]		LVP	Bimbo Coles (ATL): -30.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaPhonso Ellis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.00	5	100%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.07	0.00	10	55%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	14	54%	0.12	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	67%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.22	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.12,-0.06,-0.22,-0.22	-0.10	-0.11	0.01	22	47%	-0.03	5	-0.20	3	67%	-0.03
Bimbo Coles	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.31	0.02	-0.32	0.01	11	58%	-0.08	1	-0.22	2	0%	-0.06

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.3	0.30	0.01	0.29	0.00	3	62%	0.30	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	14	70%	0.24	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Bryon Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	13	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.09	0.01	18	57%	0.19	3	-0.12	8	62%	-0.03
Olden Polynice	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.13	0.01	10	45%	-0.04	1	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	1.7	26.0	15.8	25.0	1.5	37.2	129.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +46.4%

ATL -1.6%

ATL -17.3%

UTA +16.5%

UTA +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	UTA	NBA	ATL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.4	15.6	15.2	104.4	106.7	101.7
season	15.4	16.3		99.3	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.2		100.6	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.2	13.9	17.7	20.4	16.4
UTA	15.8	16.8	15.0	14.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	36	35	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.11	7	-9	16	16.0	16.6	-0.59	16.2	15.3	0.86
LaPhonso Ellis	47	45	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.16	-1	-1	0	16.2	16.5	-0.34	15.3	16.0	-0.62
Lorenzen Wright	13	13	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.12	0	-2	2	15.2	16.5	-1.31	17.2	15.4	1.76
Chris Crawford	15	14	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.01	3	-5	8	14.1	16.8	-2.67	15.6	15.6	-0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	90	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	2	-6	16.4	0.0	16.36	15.6	20.0	-4.40
Jim Jackson	69	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.50	-1	-1	0	16.3	16.5	-0.16	15.5	16.2	-0.78
Alan Henderson	56	59	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.60	2	-4	6	17.7	14.1	3.64	16.2	14.6	1.57
Isaiah Rider	70	70	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.59	-7	5	-12	16.1	17.3	-1.21	15.3	16.7	-1.36
Bimbo Coles	54	55	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.55	-9	7	-16	16.6	16.0	0.59	15.3	16.2	-0.86

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Hornacek	65	65	0.95	-0.45	1.41	0.60	12	-10	22	14.7	18.1	-3.37	16.7	15.6	1.10
Karl Malone	71	72	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.56	8	-6	14	15.7	15.6	0.08	16.6	15.4	1.14
Olden Polynice	64	64	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.39	12	-10	22	15.4	16.3	-0.99	16.5	16.0	0.45
John Stockton	50	50	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.57	3	-1	4	16.5	14.5	1.97	16.9	15.7	1.14
Bryon Russell	74	73	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.40	3	-1	4	15.8	15.1	0.71	16.4	16.4	0.00
Armen Gilliam	19	19	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.14	-4	6	-10	15.6	15.7	-0.08	14.7	16.8	-2.05
Quincy Lewis	16	17	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	3	-4	15.1	15.8	-0.71	16.4	16.4	-0.00
Jacque Vaughn	21	20	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.04	-8	10	-18	18.0	14.9	3.01	14.4	16.9	-2.51
Howard Eisley	44	45	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.25	-3	5	-8	14.9	16.3	-1.39	16.2	16.5	-0.27
Greg Ostertag	26	25	-0.55	1.05	-1.61	-0.20	-12	14	-26	16.3	15.4	0.99	16.6	16.3	0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.25,0.1,0.1,0.23,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 98, HOU 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.23,0.1,0.15,0.23,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.42,1	90.9%
DET 98, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.43,0.34,0.43,0.32,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.05,0.11,0.09,1	90.9%
NOP 91, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.26,0.19,0.39,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.42,1	90.9%