NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	98		Excitement	8.2 [225]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (HOU): +21.2%
Houston Rockets	102		Comeback	20.6 [96]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (BKN): -20.4%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Anderson	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.08	0.01	6	81%	0.20	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Mason Plumlee	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	10	71%	0.15	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	15	45%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Cory Jefferson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Brook Lopez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.05	-0.03	12	43%	0.05	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Thaddeus Young	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	7	64%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	13	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.03
Markel Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09	0.03	-0.12	-0.01	12	54%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2	-0.15	-0.06	-0.01	9	22%	-0.09	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.07	0.01	11	87%	0.27	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.01	0.17	-0.01	9	47%	0.22	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Terrence Jones	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.01	0.01	16	72%	0.21	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.09	0.01	1	125%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,0.11	0.11	-0.10	0.26	0.05	15	41%	0.23	4	-0.12	7	100%	0.08
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	10	45%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.07
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	29.0	15.5	26.3	2.4	43.5	142.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +59.2%

HOU +6.1%

BKN -20.2%

HOU +9.5%

BKN -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	HOU	NBA	BKN	HOU	NBA
this game	16.3	13.6	15.1	102.1	105.2	104.2
season	15.3	14.3		102.9	105.6
opponent	14.9	15.3		103.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.3	15.4	16.0	18.4	16.3
HOU	14.1	13.4	14.0	12.9	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Jefferson	18	17	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-9	14	17.7	15.9	1.80	14.9	13.3	1.63
Mason Plumlee	46	47	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.05	2	-6	8	15.9	16.6	-0.75	13.2	14.0	-0.75
Thaddeus Young	33	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.08	-4	0	-4	16.1	16.4	-0.30	13.6	13.6	-0.03
Brook Lopez	42	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	2	-8	17.0	15.7	1.27	14.0	13.3	0.65
Alan Anderson	76	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.15	-2	-2	0	15.7	18.3	-2.58	13.8	12.7	1.13
Jarrett Jack	44	46	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	2	-8	16.7	15.9	0.86	13.5	13.7	-0.14
Joe Johnson	79	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-5	6	16.8	13.6	3.18	13.5	14.1	-0.63
Markel Brown	71	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.54	0	-4	4	16.3	16.2	0.03	13.5	13.9	-0.45
Deron Williams	71	72	-0.90	0.40	-1.29	-0.60	-10	6	-16	15.5	18.5	-3.06	13.4	14.3	-0.92

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Jones	76	73	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.45	8	-4	12	13.6	13.5	0.09	15.8	17.8	-2.00
James Harden	76	76	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.56	3	1	2	13.4	14.2	-0.82	16.4	15.6	0.83
Donatas Motiejunas	44	46	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.55	1	3	-2	14.3	13.0	1.23	17.2	15.4	1.84
Patrick Beverley	69	70	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.45	4	0	4	14.1	12.2	1.89	16.2	16.5	-0.28
Trevor Ariza	73	73	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.45	-3	7	-10	13.6	13.6	-0.04	16.6	15.0	1.60
Pablo Prigioni	25	24	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	-1	6	13.6	13.6	0.06	15.3	16.6	-1.29
Joey Dorsey	5	4	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	4	-4	14.6	13.5	1.06	12.2	16.4	-4.18
Corey Brewer	35	34	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.06	2	2	0	12.9	14.0	-1.02	15.3	16.8	-1.54
Jason Terry	24	23	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.07	-3	7	-10	12.5	13.9	-1.40	16.3	16.2	0.11
Josh Smith	58	58	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.31	2	2	0	13.4	13.9	-0.54	16.5	15.9	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.23,0.1,0.15,0.23,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 94, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.25,0.1,0.1,0.23,1	90.9%
NJN 109, GSW 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.41,0.44,0.28,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.28,0.17,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.23,0.15,1	90.7%
NOP 91, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.26,0.19,0.39,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.42,1	90.0%