NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	91		Excitement	9.1 [132]		MVP	Lou Williams (LAL): +22.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	95		Comeback	6.5 [136]		LVP	Jordan Clarkson (LAL): -18.7%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	9	74%	0.16	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	83%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.06,0.18,0.04	-0.03	0.05	-0.03	18	39%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Luke Babbitt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.02,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	17	55%	0.06	5	-0.13	4	50%	-0.16
Ryan Anderson	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	19	38%	-0.06	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.15	-0.01	14	50%	0.22	0	0.00	10	100%	0.07
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.2	0.20	-0.04	0.23	-0.01	8	39%	0.24	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.10	0.00	8	65%	0.18	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Anthony Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	5	69%	0.12	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	35%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	8	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	17	42%	-0.04	3	-0.15	9	78%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.6	30.2	15.6	26.2	1.8	31.5	130.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP -9.5%

LAL +31.8%

LAL +26.2%

NOP -0.8%

LAL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	LAL	NBA	NOP	LAL	NBA
this game	14.4	15.8	14.9	95.8	99.0	105.1
season	14.3	15.2		104.3	100.1
opponent	14.5	15.0		109.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.0	12.8	14.1	15.8	14.4
LAL	15.0	14.8	15.9	17.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	34	34	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.01	6	-10	16	15.0	14.0	0.95	16.9	15.2	1.69
Omer Asik	36	36	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.05	7	-11	18	14.7	14.2	0.58	16.2	15.5	0.65
Luke Babbitt	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-3	2	10.1	15.0	-4.86	16.2	15.7	0.56
Alexis Ajinca	43	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	3	-10	14.2	14.5	-0.33	15.2	16.2	-1.07
Eric Gordon	53	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	0	-4	15.1	13.5	1.55	14.9	16.9	-2.03
Ryan Anderson	84	85	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-6	8	14.2	15.6	-1.41	15.4	18.6	-3.25
Tyreke Evans	66	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.44	-2	-2	0	15.0	12.9	2.10	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Jrue Holiday	52	52	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.38	-5	1	-6	13.9	15.0	-1.12	16.1	15.4	0.73
Alonzo Gee	31	30	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.33	-7	3	-10	14.5	14.3	0.14	17.0	15.2	1.80
Norris Cole	65	66	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.36	-9	5	-14	14.1	15.1	-0.99	15.7	15.9	-0.25

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Brown	47	47	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.47	14	-10	24	14.0	17.5	-3.53	14.9	13.9	1.04
Jordan Clarkson	72	73	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.47	7	-3	10	15.3	17.1	-1.76	14.8	12.9	1.99
Larry Nance Jr.	63	61	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-2	8	15.3	16.6	-1.24	14.7	13.8	0.97
Lou Williams	72	69	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.43	2	2	0	15.9	15.2	0.68	14.3	14.6	-0.26
Julius Randle	49	50	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.41	2	2	0	16.5	15.0	1.57	13.9	15.0	-1.12
Roy Hibbert	51	50	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	4	-4	15.3	16.3	-0.99	15.0	13.8	1.20
Brandon Bass	29	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	4	-4	16.2	15.6	0.64	13.6	14.7	-1.16
Kobe Bryant	33	32	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	10	-16	15.6	15.8	-0.24	13.9	14.6	-0.73
D'Angelo Russell	48	48	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.13	-1	5	-6	16.2	15.4	0.81	13.8	15.0	-1.21
Nick Young	16	16	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.13	-4	8	-12	21.4	14.6	6.74	13.8	14.5	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.26,0.19,0.39,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 86, HOU 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.23,0.22,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.28,0.1,0.28,1	90.9%
ATL 94, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.25,0.1,0.1,0.23,1	90.9%
TOR 86, NJN 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.45,0.28,0.24,0.58,1	90.5%