NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	87		Excitement	9.1 [110]		MVP	Eric Snow (PHI): +14.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	84		Comeback	5.7 [249]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -88.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.17,-0.21,-0.1,-0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	15	51%	0.12	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Brian Shaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	0.03	-0.02	22	42%	0.00	3	-0.08	8	50%	-0.05
Glen Rice	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.03	-0.11	0.01	11	69%	0.05	3	-0.14	4	50%	-0.06
A.C. Green	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	10	40%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.09	0.00	8	62%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	14	57%	0.11	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.04
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	75%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	50%	0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	11	33%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	0.00	9	30%	-0.14	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.23,-0.26,-0.37,-0.41,-0.41,-0.57,-0.57,-0.88	-0.88	-0.29	-0.61	-0.01	25	29%	-0.68	5	-0.20	5	40%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	34.4	23.5	30.5	2.8	35.2	152.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +72.5%

PHI -13.5%

PHI -18.4%

LAL +7.6%

LAL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHI	NBA	LAL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.3	15.7	15.2	97.8	92.3	101.7
season	15.3	15.0		105.6	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		98.1	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.0	15.0	18.5	16.0	16.3
PHI	15.3	14.4	16.7	16.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	73	74	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.58	5	-2	7	16.6	15.1	1.46	15.6	16.2	-0.68
A.C. Green	49	51	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.41	6	-3	9	16.9	15.7	1.18	16.9	14.1	2.73
Kobe Bryant	71	74	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.29	10	-7	17	16.3	16.3	-0.01	15.9	14.7	1.20
Brian Shaw	31	31	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.45	4	-1	5	15.2	16.9	-1.69	16.2	15.4	0.78
Shaquille O'Neal	86	87	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.38	-2	5	-7	16.2	19.0	-2.77	15.3	23.0	-7.66
Rick Fox	23	24	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.15	6	-3	9	14.3	17.0	-2.73	16.9	15.3	1.62
Derek Fisher	35	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	5	-7	16.7	16.1	0.69	14.9	16.2	-1.35
Ron Harper	49	48	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.06	-7	10	-17	16.7	15.9	0.77	15.0	16.4	-1.35
Robert Horry	28	28	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	8	-13	16.7	16.1	0.62	14.9	16.0	-1.19

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Geiger	53	51	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-7	11	15.1	16.4	-1.32	16.7	15.9	0.80
Kevin Ollie	8	6	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-3	3	11.5	16.1	-4.58	20.2	16.0	4.12
Aaron McKie	39	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-4	5	14.9	16.3	-1.42	16.6	16.1	0.53
Toni Kukoc	56	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.40	6	-9	15	14.6	17.4	-2.84	15.9	16.9	-1.02
Tyrone Hill	45	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-7	11	15.0	16.4	-1.44	16.5	16.2	0.33
George Lynch	48	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	5	-13	17.1	14.1	2.97	16.9	15.7	1.24
Eric Snow	68	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-1	-1	15.8	15.2	0.62	15.8	17.9	-2.04
Theo Ratliff	55	55	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.28	-11	8	-19	17.1	13.5	3.56	16.2	16.6	-0.42
Allen Iverson	83	81	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.44	-9	6	-15	16.1	11.6	4.45	16.0	19.1	-3.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.34,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.42,0.3,0.53,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.53,0.8,0.72,0.32,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 105, DEN 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.42,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.54,0.69,0.15,0	91.6%
LAC 97, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.66,0.23,0.02,0	90.1%
SAS 71, HOU 67	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.47,0.38,0.64,0.23,0.02,0	90.1%