inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 105 Excitement9.4 [53] MVPDennis Scott (MIN): +24.2%
Denver Nuggets 101 Comeback4.0 [253] LVPKevin Garnett (MIN): -30.9%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dennis Scott0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.240.080.16-0.00872%0.2400.002100%0.02
Terrell Brandon0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.04-0.011163%0.111-0.025100%0.04
Joe Smith0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0,0.07,0.070.030.040.001160%0.0700.0013100%0.16
Tom Hammonds0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.04-0.00356%0.0400.003100%0.02
Bill Curley0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02-0.020.030.00275%0.092-0.084100%0.09
Reggie Jordan0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dean Garrett-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Sam Mitchell-0.070,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.030.01950%-0.002-0.062100%0.02
Bobby Jackson-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.11-0.07-0.00828%-0.132-0.05250%-0.01
Kevin Garnett-0.310,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.12,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31-0.09-0.220.002548%-0.134-0.18875%-0.03

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Johnny Taylor0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.120.040.011378%0.182-0.031100%0.01
Nick Van Exel0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.080.080.010.06-0.011750%0.0800.008100%0.12
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.001168%0.153-0.14650%-0.06
Cory Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.020.00729%-0.001-0.0400%0.00
Bryant Stith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.050.00644%-0.0800.00475%0.01
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.07-0.08-0.0030%-0.111-0.0400%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.09-0.16-0.011542%-0.192-0.06617%-0.12
Chauncey Billups0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.27-0.12-0.140.011242%-0.063-0.21989%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.626.316.525.02.642.4139.6
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN -6.8%
MIN +47.6%
DEN -2.8%
MIN +12.4%
DEN -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDENNBAMINDENNBA
this game14.315.715.8108.2106.399.6
season15.015.598.6100.7
opponent15.615.9107.698.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN11.715.315.415.214.3
DEN15.516.015.915.415.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terrell Brandon74730.76-0.261.020.3813-92214.314.5-0.2215.018.0-3.05
Sam Mitchell67660.73-0.230.960.469-51414.214.5-0.3214.418.6-4.20
Joe Smith79780.67-0.170.850.448-41214.612.91.6815.417.2-1.79
Bill Curley45450.58-0.080.660.1714-102414.813.90.9617.813.84.02
Dennis Scott35340.56-0.060.620.4440414.214.4-0.1318.114.43.67
Tom Hammonds34330.010.49-0.490.12-48-1215.613.61.9216.215.50.68
Reggie Jordan31-0.100.60-0.690.02-48-127.014.5-7.5410.015.8-5.77
Kevin Garnett7573-0.180.68-0.85-0.1804-414.414.00.3416.014.81.15
Dean Garrett4241-0.240.74-0.990.02-913-2213.115.2-2.1414.416.7-2.23
Bobby Jackson3131-0.300.80-1.090.03-1115-2614.014.5-0.4516.015.60.44

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cory Alexander2929-0.05-0.450.390.00-2-2018.214.63.6014.714.20.49
Danny Fortson7577-0.06-0.440.38-0.122-6815.217.5-2.3414.214.7-0.56
Johnny Taylor7174-0.07-0.430.350.01-3-1-216.513.33.1714.114.9-0.73
Keon Clark3433-0.18-0.320.14-0.273-71017.614.72.9315.014.01.05
Chauncey Billups7475-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.432-6814.819.0-4.1713.915.5-1.60
Bryant Stith4143-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.43-1-3215.815.60.1315.213.61.53
Nick Van Exel7071-0.560.06-0.61-0.32-84-1214.818.3-3.4914.015.1-1.10
Antonio McDyess8183-0.750.25-0.99-0.37-139-2215.417.6-2.2714.314.30.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.42,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.54,0.69,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 87, PHI 840.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.34,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.42,0.3,0.53,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.53,0.8,0.72,0.32,0.04,091.6%
HOU 106, IND 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.45,0.57,0.27,091.2%
CHA 109, LAL 1040.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.55,0.05,090.4%