NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	106		Excitement	9.6 [75]		MVP	Carl Landry (HOU): +33.4%
Indiana Pacers	103		Comeback	4.3 [343]		LVP	Travis Diener (IND): -29.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.33	0.13	0.21	0.00	11	73%	0.47	2	-0.14	8	50%	-0.05
Shane Battier	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	7	81%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Luis Scola	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	8	71%	0.14	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Luther Head	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	12	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	12	75%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	19	45%	0.03	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Rafer Alston	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23	-0.09	-0.15	-0.01	11	32%	-0.02	2	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.17	0.11	-0.00	9	89%	0.29	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.11	-0.00	7	57%	0.17	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	-0.02	-0.05	20	49%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	4	64%	0.09	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.06	0.00	10	57%	0.02	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	10	46%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.05
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.14	0.02	16	42%	-0.15	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	5	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,-0.3	-0.30	-0.01	-0.29	-0.00	9	47%	-0.28	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	30.6	15.0	23.1	1.8	36.1	131.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +58.2%

HOU +0.3%

HOU +4.3%

IND -15.9%

HOU +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	IND	NBA	HOU	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	14.3	15.4	108.2	107.3	105.7
season	16.2	13.8		104.6	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.2		105.6	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.0	14.0	18.2	13.8	15.3
IND	16.0	13.7	13.9	13.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	72	72	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.57	6	-3	9	15.6	14.5	1.10	14.6	13.5	1.11
Tracy McGrady	78	75	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.45	6	-3	9	15.3	15.6	-0.32	14.3	14.4	-0.06
Yao Ming	75	76	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-8	19	16.0	13.2	2.78	14.9	12.2	2.63
Charles Hayes	29	27	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	-5	13	12.6	16.5	-3.97	14.6	14.2	0.41
Shane Battier	84	83	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.52	-3	6	-9	15.5	14.7	0.74	14.5	13.2	1.28
Carl Landry	46	44	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	5	-7	13.4	17.1	-3.73	13.5	15.1	-1.62
Luther Head	7	7	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	-4	11	13.6	15.5	-1.91	15.0	14.3	0.72
Steve Novak	8	9	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	2	-1	17.4	15.2	2.21	11.9	14.6	-2.70
Aaron Brooks	27	24	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.11	-3	6	-9	14.0	15.9	-1.86	13.5	14.6	-1.11
Bonzi Wells	27	27	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.10	-4	7	-11	15.7	15.2	0.44	13.7	14.6	-0.93
Luis Scola	37	36	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.02	-12	15	-27	18.6	13.3	5.30	14.6	14.1	0.49

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawne Williams	43	44	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.10	3	-6	9	12.9	15.5	-2.58	14.9	15.7	-0.88
Jamaal Tinsley	43	42	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.14	-3	0	-3	14.1	14.5	-0.44	15.7	15.1	0.56
Kareem Rush	41	42	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-1	-1	13.0	15.3	-2.28	14.3	16.1	-1.77
David Harrison	25	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.12	-5	2	-7	15.1	14.1	1.01	16.3	15.0	1.31
Jeff Foster	71	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.53	2	-5	7	14.1	15.1	-1.01	15.0	16.3	-1.31
Travis Diener	53	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.56	0	-3	3	14.5	14.1	0.44	15.1	15.7	-0.56
Mike Dunleavy	76	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.47	-3	0	-3	14.6	13.3	1.24	15.7	14.1	1.57
Troy Murphy	50	51	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.39	-6	3	-9	15.8	12.7	3.14	16.3	14.3	2.06
Danny Granger	78	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.56	-1	-2	1	14.6	13.2	1.37	15.2	15.9	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.45,0.57,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 88, MIA 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.45,0.45,0.68,0.27,0	91.4%
MIN 105, DEN 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.42,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.54,0.69,0.15,0	91.2%
MIA 106, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.26,0	91.1%