NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	116		Excitement	3.3 [1109]		MVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): +13.8%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	2.0 [111]		LVP	Bryant Reeves (VAN): -7.9%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	15	76%	0.16	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Michael Dickerson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.02	11	69%	0.11	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Grant Long	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	4	100%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.01	0.04	23	60%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Dennis Scott	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	6	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Brent Price	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	39%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.04	13	50%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.03	6	77%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	75%	0.05	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	0.00	0.11	5	92%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	12	41%	-0.02	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	0.06	6	58%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	12	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.3	28.6	15.6	29.2	1.8	23.2	125.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +31.7%

VAN +2.9%

VAN +12.2%

VAN +3.1%

VAN +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	UTA	NBA	VAN	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.2	127.5	111.2	101.7
season	15.9	16.3		99.5	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.0		100.6	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	14.4	15.6	17.1	17.7	16.1
UTA	15.6	16.5	14.8	16.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	83	82	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.13	21	-4	25	16.3	14.6	1.66	16.0	14.1	1.86
Mike Bibby	74	72	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	0	17	15.8	17.5	-1.63	15.6	16.8	-1.20
Grant Long	61	58	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.23	21	-4	25	16.2	16.1	0.06	15.9	15.7	0.17
Bryant Reeves	53	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	7	3	15.5	17.0	-1.43	16.0	15.6	0.36
Felipe Lopez	43	41	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	12	-7	16.0	16.3	-0.36	16.1	15.6	0.45
Dennis Scott	35	33	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	5	7	16.1	16.2	-0.05	16.5	15.5	1.05
Michael Dickerson	59	58	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	12	-7	16.5	15.4	1.14	15.1	17.3	-2.25
Milt Palacio	17	17	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	17	-17	17.5	15.8	1.63	16.8	15.6	1.20
Antoine Carr	5	5	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	16	-15	16.4	16.1	0.27	12.6	16.0	-3.45
Brent Price	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	16.7	16.1	0.64	16.0	15.8	0.15
Othella Harrington	21	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	20	-23	16.1	16.1	-0.00	16.1	15.8	0.38

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	14.3	16.1	-1.75	19.8	15.7	4.11
Jacque Vaughn	30	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.10	-6	-11	5	15.5	16.1	-0.58	16.6	15.9	0.66
Quincy Lewis	33	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-15	13	16.4	15.5	0.91	17.8	15.1	2.65
Greg Ostertag	27	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-14	11	15.7	15.9	-0.27	17.8	15.4	2.38
Jeff Hornacek	39	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-12	7	15.8	15.9	-0.11	16.4	15.9	0.48
Karl Malone	50	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-10	3	16.2	15.4	0.79	16.1	16.2	-0.15
John Stockton	46	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-15	13	16.0	15.7	0.30	16.0	16.3	-0.30
Olden Polynice	51	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-6	-5	15.4	16.5	-1.17	15.4	17.2	-1.88
Armen Gilliam	34	33	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.23	-20	3	-23	16.2	15.7	0.52	14.4	17.2	-2.79
Bryon Russell	62	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	-6	-5	15.8	15.9	-0.05	15.6	17.4	-1.81
Howard Eisley	63	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.07	-21	4	-25	16.0	15.6	0.39	15.9	16.8	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 112, BKN 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
WAS 106, POR 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
SAC 109, NJN 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%