NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	109		Excitement	3.4 [1134]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +22.1%
New Jersey Nets	84		Comeback	1.7 [357]		LVP	Jason Collins (NJN): -9.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.06	0.00	16	74%	0.24	2	-0.01	7	86%	-0.00
Brad Miller	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.16	-0.00	0.07	10	95%	0.12	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	7	55%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	15	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Hart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergei Monia	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	9	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	12	39%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	6	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	-0.00	-0.03	14	64%	0.11	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	10	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	80%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	22	42%	0.00	4	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	7	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	26.6	15.4	26.4	2.3	27.8	125.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +40.0%

SAC +4.0%

SAC +1.6%

SAC +3.2%

SAC +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NJN	NBA	SAC	NJN	NBA
this game	14.2	16.6	15.6	116.0	90.3	104.4
season	15.3	15.7		104.7	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.5		100.9	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.7	14.0	13.3	16.2	14.2
NJN	19.0	16.7	15.0	15.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	69	68	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.27	28	-3	31	13.0	17.7	-4.73	17.4	14.4	2.97
Kevin Martin	70	69	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	11	3	14.3	14.0	0.38	16.2	17.7	-1.48
Mike Bibby	80	80	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.30	27	-2	29	13.4	18.9	-5.42	17.2	12.8	4.42
Brad Miller	73	73	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.20	18	7	11	13.7	16.0	-2.26	16.4	17.1	-0.68
Metta World Peace	75	75	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.17	17	8	9	13.8	16.1	-2.33	16.5	17.0	-0.53
Bonzi Wells	49	47	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.18	13	12	1	14.1	14.4	-0.30	17.5	15.6	1.90
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	27	25	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.09	7	18	-11	14.8	14.0	0.80	17.4	16.3	1.14
Jason Hart	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	26	-27	20.6	13.6	6.98	12.7	17.0	-4.32
Sergei Monia	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	25	-25	22.7	13.7	9.00	12.9	16.9	-4.01
Vitaly Potapenko	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	22.7	13.7	9.00	11.3	16.9	-5.60
Ronnie Price	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	22.7	13.7	9.00	11.3	16.9	-5.60

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zoran Planinic	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-26	27	13.2	17.1	-3.91	18.8	13.6	5.26
Lamond Murray	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-26	27	13.2	17.1	-3.91	18.8	13.6	5.26
Bostjan Nachbar	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-26	27	13.2	17.1	-3.91	18.8	13.6	5.26
Antoine Wright	32	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.14	-6	-19	13	16.0	16.9	-0.87	16.8	12.9	3.87
Jacque Vaughn	34	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.25	-16	-9	-7	17.7	15.9	1.79	13.2	14.8	-1.68
Jason Collins	48	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	-14	3	17.4	15.7	1.71	13.5	15.0	-1.49
Nenad Krstic	39	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.17	-14	-11	-3	18.0	15.5	2.46	14.1	14.4	-0.26
Scott Padgett	20	20	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-16	7	14.8	17.1	-2.25	15.0	14.0	1.02
Clifford Robinson	45	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	-14	3	16.3	16.8	-0.54	13.6	14.8	-1.24
Jason Kidd	64	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	-14	3	16.1	17.6	-1.48	14.0	14.8	-0.79
Richard Jefferson	75	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.24	-21	-4	-17	16.8	15.5	1.33	13.7	16.6	-2.93
Vince Carter	72	72	-0.58	0.09	-0.67	0.27	-29	4	-33	17.5	13.5	4.00	12.9	18.8	-5.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 105, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
IND 105, DET 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
NOP 113, LAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%