NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	93		Excitement	7.3 [355]		MVP	Anfernee Hardaway (PHX): +17.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	87		Comeback	1.1 [637]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -45.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway	0.18	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.08	-0.02	21	61%	0.22	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rex Chapman	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13	-0.00	0.12	-0.01	3	67%	0.16	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Tom Gugliotta	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.09	0.00	11	68%	0.18	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Clifford Robinson	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.05,0.07	-0.10	0.10	-0.07	14	50%	0.16	4	-0.09	10	50%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Oliver Miller	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	0.01	-0.02	11	20%	-0.10	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	8	61%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.02	0.07	-0.04	6	57%	0.13	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	13	46%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Bruce Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.06	-0.02	13	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	9	32%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	10	36%	-0.08	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Tyrone Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	3	44%	-0.08	2	-0.05	10	30%	-0.10
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.32,-0.4,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46	-0.46	-0.27	-0.20	-0.02	28	28%	-0.39	2	-0.06	8	50%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.2	33.6	14.7	23.2	2.4	36.5	137.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +70.1%

PHX +13.7%

PHI -25.0%

PHI -6.2%

PHI -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	PHI	NBA	PHX	PHI	NBA
this game	15.7	14.6	15.2	97.9	91.6	101.7
season	14.8	15.0		101.4	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.3		98.1	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.0	15.3	15.8	15.8	15.7
PHI	14.0	14.1	15.5	14.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	79	78	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.22	15	-9	24	15.6	16.5	-0.92	15.3	11.1	4.22
Clifford Robinson	81	81	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	-1	8	15.5	17.1	-1.65	15.1	11.7	3.36
Oliver Miller	66	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	-2	10	16.2	14.8	1.41	15.2	13.2	1.99
Rex Chapman	35	35	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	5	-4	14.8	16.3	-1.44	13.1	15.4	-2.27
Jason Kidd	84	84	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	5	-4	15.8	15.5	0.22	14.4	16.0	-1.61
Tom Gugliotta	58	59	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.19	8	-2	10	15.3	16.4	-1.05	15.2	13.5	1.69
Luc Longley	29	28	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	8	-10	14.8	16.2	-1.41	13.2	15.2	-1.99
Rodney Rogers	28	28	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.21	-7	13	-20	18.6	14.6	4.02	14.0	14.8	-0.82
Todd Day	15	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	7	-8	16.1	15.7	0.47	10.9	15.3	-4.33

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Bowen	1	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-4	2	21.0	14.5	6.49	10.0	15.8	-5.80
Billy Owens	23	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-5	4	14.6	14.6	0.04	17.8	15.1	2.66
Larry Hughes	41	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-7	8	14.1	14.9	-0.76	15.0	16.3	-1.24
Theo Ratliff	71	71	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-7	8	15.0	13.4	1.61	15.9	15.2	0.71
George Lynch	48	49	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.28	1	-7	8	15.1	14.1	1.02	15.8	15.7	0.12
Matt Geiger	45	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	1	-8	14.4	14.7	-0.30	16.7	15.0	1.67
Allen Iverson	80	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-8	10	14.1	17.3	-3.19	15.9	15.1	0.78
Aaron McKie	41	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-3	0	15.0	14.3	0.70	15.9	15.6	0.25
Eric Snow	68	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	3	-12	14.4	15.0	-0.64	15.4	16.5	-1.09
Tyrone Hill	57	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.09	-13	7	-20	14.6	14.6	0.04	14.7	17.3	-2.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.27,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.22,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 85, WAS 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.05,0	93.7%
DET 109, CHH 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.15,0,0	92.6%
CLE 88, SAS 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.01,0	92.3%