inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 88 Excitement5.7 [690] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +22.8%
San Antonio Spurs 81 Comeback1.3 [377] LVPEric Snow (CLE): -7.6%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.230,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.230.130.08-0.022656%0.282-0.051155%-0.02
Donyell Marshall0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.080.030.05-0.00657%0.0800.0020%-0.01
Drew Gooden0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.04-0.01660%0.101-0.033100%0.02
David Wesley0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.01343%0.0400.001100%0.01
Damon Jones0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Anderson Varejao0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0-0.040.03-0.01250%0.042-0.04250%-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.010,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.00943%0.021-0.03540%-0.04
Sasha Pavlovic-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Larry Hughes-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.010.001550%0.074-0.10683%0.01
Scot Pollard-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Eric Snow-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.0130%-0.041-0.0300%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.00-0.03367%0.0500.0000%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.000100%0.0400.002100%0.02
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0-0.000.00-0.03-0.031156%0.053-0.06333%-0.03
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00736%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.000.021453%0.105-0.131947%-0.11
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.010.021652%0.043-0.07862%-0.04
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.01-0.00725%-0.0500.00250%-0.02
Bruce Bowen0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00520%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.0240%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.03.633.419.632.13.543.5163.8
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +28.6%
CLE +13.6%
CLE +11.1%
SAS -1.3%
SAS -2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLESASNBACLESASNBA
this game16.615.815.497.892.0104.5
season16.016.2103.2107.5
opponent15.415.698.999.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE15.616.018.316.716.6
SAS16.516.816.013.915.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anderson Varejao35310.460.040.420.3443117.416.11.3717.015.11.91
LeBron James79770.410.090.310.2361516.417.6-1.1915.617.1-1.52
Damon Jones45440.370.130.240.148-1916.017.2-1.1315.915.60.30
David Wesley26230.320.180.150.2434-117.016.40.5816.915.41.56
Donyell Marshall36350.300.200.100.049-21115.017.7-2.6915.316.1-0.74
Eric Snow46450.180.32-0.140.1516-516.816.40.4015.615.9-0.24
Larry Hughes73740.140.36-0.230.17-18-916.616.7-0.1415.616.8-1.22
Drew Gooden54540.120.38-0.250.1016-516.916.20.6615.616.0-0.44
Sasha Pavlovic210.090.41-0.320.0325-319.016.52.4717.015.71.25
Zydrunas Ilgauskas51530.080.42-0.340.0516-517.215.81.3615.216.5-1.30
Scot Pollard330.020.48-0.45-0.0116-516.316.6-0.2620.315.64.73

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Francisco Elson25260.04-0.540.570.07-1-6517.015.31.6716.616.6-0.02
Brent Barry2123-0.12-0.380.26-0.213-101315.815.70.0616.016.8-0.73
Tony Parker6665-0.21-0.290.07-0.272-91115.117.7-2.5617.414.52.86
Tim Duncan7273-0.24-0.260.02-0.18-2-5315.218.4-3.2717.014.92.03
Michael Finley3435-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.02-81-917.214.82.4014.917.6-2.69
Bruce Bowen7172-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.12-5-2-315.218.1-2.9216.915.41.50
Beno Udrih2225-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.02-92-1117.715.12.5614.517.4-2.86
Robert Horry3738-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.28-2-5315.516.0-0.5216.117.0-0.88
Fabricio Oberto3737-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.13-81-915.915.60.3216.516.6-0.13
Manu Ginobili5556-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.30-5-2-315.915.60.3017.415.32.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 85, WAS 820.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.05,094.4%
LAL 96, UTA 880.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.27,0.37,0.34,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.4,0.28,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.08,0.19,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.16,0.16,0,094.1%
IND 93, CHI 810.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,093.8%