NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	93		Excitement	5.2 [769]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +12.2%
Chicago Bulls	81		Comeback	1.1 [872]		LVP	Jeff Foster (IND): -22.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.01	9	61%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.02	-0.04	12	69%	0.11	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	15	57%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jalen Rose	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	12	55%	0.05	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Jonathan Bender	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	10	64%	0.08	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.02
Travis Best	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	5	40%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	8	25%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.18	-0.05	-0.01	9	10%	-0.16	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	100%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	43%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	8	65%	0.04	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	12	62%	0.07	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	11	46%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Ron Mercer	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	19	43%	-0.02	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Brad Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	7	37%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	27.4	15.8	23.7	1.8	23.2	121.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +10.0%

IND +12.6%

CHI -10.4%

IND +35.8%

IND +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	15.2	14.2	15.6	95.9	81.8	102.3
season	15.3	15.6		101.6	96.3
opponent	15.6	15.4		105.5	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	15.7	15.2	15.3	15.2
CHI	16.0	15.0	13.6	12.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Bender	94	96	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	2	8	15.1	17.3	-2.20	14.0	21.7	-7.71
Jalen Rose	79	80	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.13	8	4	4	15.0	16.2	-1.18	13.9	15.3	-1.39
Austin Croshere	58	59	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.13	8	4	4	14.8	15.7	-0.90	14.7	13.5	1.16
Jamaal Tinsley	51	54	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	6	0	15.6	14.8	0.81	13.9	14.5	-0.54
Al Harrington	47	47	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	9	-6	15.2	15.2	0.01	14.6	13.8	0.85
Jeff Foster	55	56	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	3	6	15.7	14.6	1.08	14.3	14.0	0.26
Reggie Miller	54	56	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.01	9	3	6	15.4	14.9	0.50	14.3	14.1	0.22
Travis Best	47	47	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	5	2	14.9	15.5	-0.52	14.1	14.2	-0.12

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	27	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-12	12	15.7	13.6	2.13	14.3	15.5	-1.17
Charles Oakley	33	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-9	6	13.5	14.5	-1.06	15.4	15.1	0.24
Eddy Curry	23	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.14	1	-13	14	15.6	13.8	1.79	15.0	15.3	-0.21
Metta World Peace	62	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-5	-2	13.8	14.8	-1.03	15.5	14.8	0.68
Brad Miller	54	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	-1	-10	14.4	14.0	0.43	15.4	15.0	0.43
Fred Hoiberg	51	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-7	2	14.5	13.8	0.70	14.9	15.5	-0.54
Marcus Fizer	44	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-7	2	13.5	14.8	-1.29	15.5	15.0	0.45
Ron Mercer	88	86	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-5	-2	13.6	19.1	-5.51	15.2	15.6	-0.49
Eddie Robinson	47	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.05	-14	2	-16	14.8	13.7	1.09	14.6	15.8	-1.22
Kevin Ollie	66	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-3	-6	14.3	14.1	0.20	15.7	14.2	1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, WAS 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.26,0.15,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.0%
DET 101, PHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.32,0.3,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
MIN 105, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%