NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	105		Excitement	7.2 [373]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +52.7%
Washington Wizards	101		Comeback	3.9 [220]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): -26.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.53	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.53	0.20	0.33	0.00	16	81%	0.54	1	-0.02	10	100%	0.13
Doug Overton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.01	8	59%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Tony Battie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dana Barros	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	29	47%	0.00	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.03
Walter McCarty	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Kenny Anderson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	8	33%	-0.06	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	17	72%	0.26	7	-0.16	9	78%	0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	62%	0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Reggie Jordan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.07	1	-0.07	5	100%	0.05
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	1	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	7	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	16	62%	0.09	5	-0.17	7	86%	0.03
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27	-0.27	-0.16	-0.11	-0.01	10	37%	-0.07	5	-0.19	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.6	30.8	0.1	31.8	1.8	41.0	132.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +17.9%

WAS -2.6%

BOS +10.5%

BOS +31.0%

WAS -6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	WAS	NBA	BOS	WAS	NBA
this game	14.5	15.7	15.2	110.5	105.2	101.7
season	14.7	15.5		102.4	101.1
opponent	14.8	15.1		104.4	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.7	13.2	15.1	17.3	14.5
WAS	15.0	16.1	16.2	15.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	63	63	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.24	20	-16	36	14.0	15.5	-1.47	16.5	14.1	2.34
Vitaly Potapenko	59	61	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.19	20	-16	36	14.1	15.1	-0.95	16.1	14.9	1.21
Antoine Walker	86	88	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.39	10	-6	16	14.4	15.8	-1.42	16.1	11.0	5.08
Walter McCarty	75	73	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.11	19	-15	34	13.3	18.8	-5.52	16.2	13.9	2.29
Kenny Anderson	61	61	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-6	16	14.3	14.8	-0.51	16.4	14.3	2.11
Dana Barros	24	24	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	5	-6	14.4	14.5	-0.16	14.8	15.9	-1.10
Calbert Cheaney	39	43	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.41	-15	19	-34	16.1	13.4	2.77	14.0	17.0	-3.04
Doug Overton	11	11	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	9	-14	16.3	14.3	2.01	13.2	16.0	-2.79
Danny Fortson	14	14	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.09	-9	13	-22	14.4	14.5	-0.08	14.1	15.9	-1.77
Tony Battie	27	26	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.08	-12	16	-28	15.6	14.1	1.53	14.6	16.0	-1.43
Eric Williams	16	16	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	0.06	-17	21	-38	17.8	13.8	3.99	13.5	16.1	-2.59

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Whitney	19	19	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.05	11	-15	26	16.6	15.4	1.22	17.4	13.8	3.59
Aaron Williams	22	23	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.13	9	-13	22	15.2	15.8	-0.62	16.0	14.0	2.04
Ike Austin	36	36	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.17	7	-11	18	15.1	16.0	-0.87	15.1	14.1	1.04
Richard Hamilton	59	60	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.09	-5	1	-6	16.7	14.0	2.74	13.9	15.5	-1.66
Juwan Howard	84	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-6	8	15.1	19.6	-4.49	14.3	15.5	-1.12
Tracy Murray	62	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-6	8	15.1	16.7	-1.67	15.2	13.3	1.91
Michael Smith	58	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	10	-24	15.8	15.5	0.26	12.9	16.9	-4.09
Jahidi White	56	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.18	-10	6	-16	16.4	14.6	1.81	14.5	14.5	-0.05
Reggie Jordan	7	7	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.28	-7	3	-10	16.1	15.6	0.52	20.6	14.0	6.56
Rod Strickland	77	76	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.33	-15	11	-26	15.4	16.6	-1.22	13.8	17.4	-3.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.35,0.38,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.33,0.39,0.22,0.1,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 109, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.46,0.58,0.64,0.53,0.33,0.53,0.29,0.06,0.01,0	93.7%
MIA 85, CHI 75	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.24,0.17,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.24,0.1,0.1,0,0	91.2%
MIN 95, MEM 93	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.29,0.13,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0	91.1%