NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	6.9 [442]		MVP	Shane Battier (MEM): +26.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	93		Comeback	3.9 [595]		LVP	Stromile Swift (MEM): -21.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Felipe Lopez	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	6	92%	0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.08,0.1	0.02	0.08	-0.01	18	56%	0.14	1	-0.04	9	78%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Chauncey Billups	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	16	56%	0.10	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Peeler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.00	4	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Sam Mitchell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.05	-0.00	11	18%	-0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.26	0.26	0.24	0.04	0.02	15	87%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	9	65%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,0,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	14	60%	0.12	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.04
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Will Solomon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	5	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Long	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	9	22%	-0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21	-0.21	-0.07	-0.12	0.02	14	52%	0.03	5	-0.24	3	100%	0.02
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.08	0.00	3	20%	-0.11	3	-0.10	4	0%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.7	28.8	15.8	24.3	1.7	37.2	130.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +16.4%

MIN +1.3%

MEM -1.8%

MIN +37.8%

MEM -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MEM	NBA	MIN	MEM	NBA
this game	15.7	15.5	15.6	102.2	101.1	102.3
season	15.0	15.7		106.7	96.0
opponent	15.2	16.1		103.8	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.0	13.5	18.0	17.8	15.7
MEM	15.4	14.7	18.0	14.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	65	66	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.30	16	-14	30	15.6	15.9	-0.32	16.2	13.7	2.47
Joe Smith	64	63	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.24	18	-16	34	15.7	15.7	-0.03	16.2	13.9	2.34
Rasho Nesterovic	62	64	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.26	14	-12	26	16.1	14.7	1.44	16.0	14.3	1.70
Kevin Garnett	79	80	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.47	3	-1	4	15.6	15.9	-0.31	16.2	10.5	5.71
Felipe Lopez	23	22	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	0	2	16.6	15.4	1.19	14.3	15.8	-1.57
Anthony Peeler	45	45	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.08	6	-4	10	15.0	16.3	-1.25	14.4	16.5	-2.18
Wally Szczerbiak	56	55	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.17	-9	11	-20	16.2	14.9	1.33	14.7	16.5	-1.80
Sam Mitchell	8	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	8	-14	12.5	16.0	-3.46	15.5	15.5	0.04
Robert Pack	29	26	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.26	-14	16	-30	15.4	15.8	-0.37	13.7	16.2	-2.47
Gary Trent	17	14	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.07	-8	10	-18	14.6	15.9	-1.25	12.1	16.1	-3.92
Marc Jackson	17	17	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.11	-12	14	-26	16.2	15.5	0.70	16.8	15.2	1.66

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	34	36	0.36	-0.86	1.22	-0.05	14	-16	30	13.4	16.7	-3.35	16.2	15.3	0.91
Rodney Buford	47	49	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.27	16	-18	34	12.8	18.2	-5.44	16.2	15.0	1.22
Eddie Gill	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-2	2	14.2	15.6	-1.33	12.8	16.0	-3.20
Will Solomon	0	1	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-2	2	0.0	15.5	-15.47	2.0	15.8	-13.82
Tony Massenburg	54	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.17	-3	1	-4	16.1	14.6	1.56	16.2	15.0	1.11
Lorenzen Wright	33	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	4	-10	15.3	15.5	-0.21	15.8	15.6	0.23
Shane Battier	74	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.50	7	-9	16	15.7	14.4	1.34	15.5	16.4	-0.91
Jason Williams	84	84	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.45	-2	0	-2	15.6	14.2	1.33	16.0	12.8	3.20
Pau Gasol	63	63	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.43	-11	9	-20	16.1	14.0	2.09	15.3	16.5	-1.18
Grant Long	63	62	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.12	-25	23	-48	17.1	11.8	5.32	15.2	16.6	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.29,0.13,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 110, NOP 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.59,0.35,0.1,0.14,0.04,0,0,0	92.7%
NOH 95, MIL 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0,0	92.6%
MIA 94, VAN 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.04,0,0,0	92.6%