NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	110		Excitement	6.6 [517]		MVP	Jeff Green (MEM): +28.0%
New Orleans Pelicans	95		Comeback	3.1 [282]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -39.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.20	0.10	0.02	13	77%	0.28	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Mike Conley	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.14	0.03	7	85%	0.26	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Vince Carter	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	6	108%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	-0.01	15	67%	0.19	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	12	54%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Tony Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	5	75%	0.09	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.01	-0.06	6	67%	0.06	1	0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	20	53%	0.09	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.14	-0.01	0.08	15	72%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bryce Dejean-Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	-0.05	9	41%	0.04	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.33,-0.37,-0.37,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.39	-0.22	-0.16	0.01	14	12%	-0.34	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	25.2	15.4	21.6	2.4	34.3	126.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +75.7%

MEM +15.3%

NOP -13.1%

NOP -22.7%

NOP -5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NOP	NBA	MEM	NOP	NBA
this game	15.7	15.7	14.9	118.3	105.6	105.1
season	15.7	14.3		103.4	104.3
opponent	15.0	14.8		107.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.3	14.1	17.1	15.5	15.7
NOP	15.0	17.2	15.6	15.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	53	53	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.14	23	-8	31	16.8	14.3	2.44	15.2	16.5	-1.23
Marc Gasol	62	61	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.08	21	-6	27	16.5	14.2	2.32	15.3	16.6	-1.26
Jeff Green	66	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-1	17	15.2	17.2	-2.03	16.3	14.5	1.84
Tony Allen	60	62	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	13	-11	15.9	15.5	0.45	15.4	16.5	-1.11
Vince Carter	36	36	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	9	-3	15.6	15.9	-0.30	15.3	16.0	-0.71
Zach Randolph	65	62	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.27	18	-3	21	15.6	16.0	-0.37	15.8	15.6	0.18
Courtney Lee	53	50	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	11	-7	16.4	14.9	1.43	15.8	15.7	0.06
JaMychal Green	18	16	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	12	-9	13.2	16.3	-3.12	16.8	15.5	1.31
Ryan Hollins	9	9	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.02	-9	24	-33	16.2	15.7	0.53	16.2	15.7	0.54
Mario Chalmers	43	39	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.05	-9	24	-33	14.5	16.8	-2.25	16.4	15.2	1.19

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	20	18	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.02	9	-24	33	14.3	16.1	-1.78	15.1	15.9	-0.78
Alonzo Gee	47	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-16	17	15.3	16.3	-1.00	16.9	14.5	2.43
Omer Asik	37	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.13	2	-17	19	15.3	16.0	-0.74	17.7	14.4	3.37
Bryce Dejean-Jones	42	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-11	7	16.6	15.0	1.62	16.4	15.1	1.27
Toney Douglas	23	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-10	5	16.5	15.5	1.00	13.7	16.5	-2.80
Norris Cole	70	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-6	-3	15.3	17.3	-2.01	16.5	13.2	3.30
Ryan Anderson	54	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	-2	-11	16.5	14.6	1.92	14.6	17.7	-3.07
Jrue Holiday	52	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-3	-9	15.6	15.9	-0.32	15.0	16.7	-1.73
Dante Cunningham	36	37	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	1	-17	15.9	15.6	0.35	14.4	16.6	-2.26
Anthony Davis	69	72	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.05	-28	13	-41	15.8	15.6	0.15	15.8	15.6	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.59,0.35,0.1,0.14,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 86, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.37,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.24,0.37,0.41,0.3,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.05,0	93.3%
MIN 95, MEM 93	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.29,0.13,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0	92.7%
MIA 94, VAN 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.04,0,0,0	92.7%