NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	93		Excitement	7.3 [356]		MVP	Walt Williams (HOU): +18.6%
Chicago Bulls	90		Comeback	1.0 [801]		LVP	Matt Maloney (CHI): -50.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.09	-0.00	12	65%	0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Francis	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.00	17	79%	0.23	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bill Curley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Bryce Drew	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	7	14%	-0.09
Cuttino Mobley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	10	62%	0.20	6	-0.25	1	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	10	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.22	-0.08	-0.15	-0.01	10	41%	-0.19	1	-0.04	7	43%	-0.22

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	5	80%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dedric Willoughby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	18	59%	0.02	2	-0.04	13	77%	-0.01
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	14	47%	-0.00	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	12	40%	-0.16	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.04
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.5	-0.50	0.01	-0.48	0.03	14	50%	-0.48	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.5	25.3	15.8	29.1	2.7	40.2	137.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +113.6%

CHI -34.1%

CHI -11.9%

CHI -15.5%

CHI -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHI	NBA	HOU	CHI	NBA
this game	17.2	17.3	15.2	112.0	107.1	101.7
season	15.4	16.5		102.4	91.8
opponent	14.9	14.6		102.3	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.5	18.6	16.9	16.7	17.2
CHI	16.2	15.0	19.1	19.3	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	50	51	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	0	3	17.0	17.3	-0.29	17.0	17.9	-0.95
Steve Francis	71	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	0	3	17.2	16.7	0.48	17.6	15.9	1.65
Kenny Thomas	55	56	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.41	1	2	-1	16.9	17.6	-0.63	16.9	18.2	-1.27
Walt Williams	69	70	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	0	3	16.8	19.0	-2.22	17.5	16.7	0.74
Anthony Miller	49	50	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.15	6	-3	9	16.9	17.5	-0.58	17.2	17.6	-0.43
Bill Curley	34	34	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.24	-3	6	-9	17.5	16.9	0.58	17.6	17.2	0.43
Shandon Anderson	47	47	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	3	-3	17.8	16.3	1.55	17.6	17.1	0.50
Matt Bullard	28	28	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	1	1	17.6	16.9	0.63	18.2	16.9	1.27
Bryce Drew	12	12	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	3	-3	16.7	17.2	-0.48	15.9	17.6	-1.65

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	16	15	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.22	0	-3	3	18.2	17.1	1.06	14.9	17.7	-2.80
Chris Anstey	11	11	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.06	3	-6	9	15.5	17.6	-2.06	21.0	16.6	4.43
Metta World Peace	65	64	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.32	10	-13	23	17.7	16.1	1.59	17.2	17.2	-0.00
Will Perdue	16	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-3	3	17.5	17.3	0.21	16.1	17.4	-1.31
Matt Maloney	57	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-7	11	17.7	16.5	1.26	18.2	15.2	2.99
Dedric Willoughby	27	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	4	-11	16.5	17.7	-1.26	15.2	18.2	-2.99
Toni Kukoc	75	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-1	-1	17.6	15.2	2.36	17.2	16.7	0.52
Chris Carr	25	25	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	6	-15	15.8	18.0	-2.18	17.2	17.1	0.12
Dickey Simpkins	56	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.24	-8	5	-13	17.9	16.2	1.63	16.8	17.8	-1.00
Elton Brand	72	72	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.64	-6	3	-9	16.9	19.9	-3.01	17.5	15.2	2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.2,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.03,0,0,0	94.6%
SAC 98, TOR 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%
DET 94, PHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.04,0,0,0	93.5%