inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 99 Excitement6.4 [536] MVPMarcus Smart (BOS): +19.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers 90 Comeback1.1 [170] LVPLeBron James (CLE): -11.4%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Smart0.190,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.150.060.021076%0.1900.00540%-0.04
Tyler Zeller0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.02-0.01959%0.0800.00475%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.05-0.01550%0.0700.0000%0.00
Avery Bradley0.070,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.00-0.011262%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Isaiah Thomas0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.04-0.011253%0.112-0.05887%0.03
Brandon Bass0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.01-0.02875%0.114-0.0800%0.00
Jae Crowder-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.02-0.01932%-0.0300.00475%-0.00
Kelly Olynyk-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.01425%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Evan Turner-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.00825%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Jared Sullinger-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.04736%0.004-0.1000%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.080.08-0.02769%0.1700.002100%0.02
Kevin Love0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.100.030.001270%0.182-0.043100%0.02
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.02-0.02739%0.0100.00978%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.001059%0.043-0.05250%-0.01
Joe Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.010.00383%0.113-0.1200%0.00
Tristan Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00250%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.020.000.02633%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.040.00450%0.012-0.0800%0.00
Matthew Dellavedova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.050.01856%0.013-0.1000%0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.13-0.00-0.0240%-0.053-0.0600%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.01-0.001438%-0.033-0.08944%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.11.727.215.531.22.430.6129.6
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +3.3%
BOS +5.9%
BOS +5.5%
BOS +32.9%
BOS +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSCLENBABOSCLENBA
this game13.815.915.1102.192.8104.2
season14.315.9103.1108.7
opponent14.915.4104.1103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS12.213.112.917.413.8
CLE17.216.913.316.915.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Smart68680.55-0.050.600.2610-11114.013.20.8316.315.21.09
Evan Turner66680.470.030.450.1511-21314.312.61.6716.614.32.37
Jonas Jerebko28280.430.070.350.2272515.313.12.1617.115.51.59
Jared Sullinger40390.340.160.190.2345-113.713.8-0.0015.716.1-0.41
Tyler Zeller38370.280.220.07-0.0110-11112.814.4-1.5816.515.60.93
Jae Crowder52530.240.26-0.010.1636-313.514.0-0.5415.416.6-1.15
Isaiah Thomas50480.210.29-0.090.0945-112.914.7-1.8415.316.6-1.28
Avery Bradley61620.090.41-0.310.0327-514.212.91.3316.015.80.22
Brandon Bass63620.020.48-0.460.05-110-1112.715.7-3.0515.217.2-2.02
Kelly Olynyk1920-0.140.64-0.780.01-514-1915.713.32.4015.216.1-0.93

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tristan Thompson35360.10-0.600.70-0.086-152114.916.5-1.6913.114.2-1.11
LeBron James56550.07-0.560.630.041-101115.416.7-1.3313.114.5-1.40
Kevin Love65650.01-0.510.52-0.021-101115.516.9-1.4013.214.9-1.67
Mike Miller4747-0.12-0.380.25-0.213-121515.316.5-1.1613.813.70.07
J.R. Smith3837-0.18-0.320.150.03-7-2-516.215.80.3614.013.60.40
Kendrick Perkins2726-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.19-3-6316.815.61.1616.212.93.28
Timofey Mozgov3435-0.32-0.18-0.130.04-123-1516.315.70.5512.714.4-1.67
Joe Harris2627-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.11-90-916.215.90.2914.013.70.29
Matthew Dellavedova8385-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.24-7-2-515.916.2-0.3213.614.6-0.95
Shawn Marion4039-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.22-8-1-717.115.12.0213.813.70.03
James Jones3433-0.500.00-0.51-0.21-101-1117.015.41.5915.612.82.86


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.2,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.03,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 93, CHI 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.16,094.6%
SAC 98, TOR 870.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.11,0.01,0,0,093.6%
ATL 103, DEN 870.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.22,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.07,0,0,0,0,093.5%