NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	110		Excitement	6.8 [464]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +30.3%
Toronto Raptors	115		Comeback	3.1 [410]		LVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): -12.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.01	25	65%	0.18	3	-0.10	7	71%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.03	0.04	16	63%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.02	16	64%	0.12	2	-0.08	7	86%	0.03
Danny Manning	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Haywoode Workman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.03	0.04	6	75%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	47%	0.01	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.22	0.11	0.03	32	69%	0.40	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.01	5	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	5	75%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.07	0.00	10	41%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	9	67%	0.01
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	16	54%	0.06	2	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.5	32.2	15.7	23.3	1.8	44.2	147.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +14.4%

TOR +4.1%

TOR +16.0%

TOR +12.3%

TOR +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	TOR	NBA	MIL	TOR	NBA
this game	13.6	16.5	15.2	112.2	122.3	101.7
season	14.9	15.5		105.5	101.8
opponent	14.9	15.4		102.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.2	13.1	14.0	14.0	13.6
TOR	13.4	19.0	16.7	17.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Reid	19	19	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.08	7	-12	19	12.2	13.9	-1.71	18.7	15.9	2.78
Glenn Robinson	85	80	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.23	9	-14	23	13.6	13.5	0.06	16.6	15.6	1.05
Sam Cassell	75	72	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.29	9	-14	23	13.9	12.6	1.34	16.8	15.3	1.56
Ervin Johnson	63	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-5	5	14.0	12.8	1.28	17.1	15.3	1.75
Haywoode Workman	10	9	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	3	-11	13.6	13.6	0.01	14.8	16.6	-1.87
Ray Allen	78	75	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.33	5	-10	15	13.0	15.9	-2.96	16.3	17.3	-1.06
Scott Williams	50	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.10	-12	7	-19	13.2	14.0	-0.72	15.1	17.9	-2.81
Danny Manning	33	33	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.31	-2	-3	1	15.5	12.6	2.85	18.5	15.3	3.20
Vinny Del Negro	37	36	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.35	-8	3	-11	13.4	13.7	-0.26	15.2	17.2	-1.97
Tim Thomas	40	37	-0.92	0.42	-1.35	-0.19	-25	20	-45	13.1	13.9	-0.79	15.2	17.3	-2.02

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	64	64	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-3	11	15.8	17.9	-2.05	13.4	13.9	-0.49
Muggsy Bogues	41	44	0.55	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	-1	7	17.4	15.7	1.68	13.7	13.5	0.29
Antonio Davis	74	77	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.29	5	0	5	16.3	17.0	-0.68	13.8	12.8	1.06
Doug Christie	62	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	-3	11	16.8	15.8	0.95	13.4	14.0	-0.56
Vince Carter	85	89	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	2	1	16.3	18.0	-1.69	13.6	14.0	-0.45
Charles Oakley	71	76	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	-4	13	16.3	16.9	-0.59	13.5	13.9	-0.41
Kevin Willis	25	23	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	5	-5	18.1	15.9	2.25	14.3	13.4	0.87
Michael Stewart	14	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	10	-15	18.3	16.1	2.14	13.5	13.6	-0.15
Alvin Williams	34	36	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.03	-9	14	-23	15.0	17.3	-2.25	13.5	13.7	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.68,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.44,0.33,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.78,0.6,0.66,0.8,0.93,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 106, MIA 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.99,1	92.4%
ATL 88, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.66,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.92,1	91.9%
BOS 94, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.29,0.44,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.94,0.98,1	91.9%