NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	88		Excitement	6.4 [536]		MVP	Mike Bibby (ATL): +15.8%
Toronto Raptors	93		Comeback	1.9 [729]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -17.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.16	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.01	14	80%	0.20	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.03	0.01	12	71%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	13	38%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	5	25%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	22	38%	-0.09	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	26	53%	0.18	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	10	73%	0.17	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	52%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	6	29%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	11	27%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.4	26.5	18.6	24.3	2.7	33.3	133.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +39.2%

TOR +6.8%

TOR +1.9%

TOR +3.8%

ATL -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	16.6	15.4	15.5	98.9	102.2	106.4
season	15.8	15.1		106.7	105.0
opponent	15.6	16.1		108.0	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.8	16.1	19.5	14.4	16.6
TOR	13.9	15.9	16.5	15.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	65	66	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.26	9	-14	23	16.0	18.3	-2.32	15.9	14.2	1.62
Zaza Pachulia	45	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-2	-1	18.0	15.2	2.80	15.1	15.8	-0.67
Solomon Jones	19	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-3	1	17.2	16.4	0.78	13.6	16.0	-2.40
Joe Johnson	80	81	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.38	8	-13	21	16.3	18.9	-2.55	15.8	12.0	3.84
Acie Law	15	15	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	5	-15	17.5	16.4	1.13	12.6	16.0	-3.37
Marvin Williams	75	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-6	7	16.2	18.5	-2.26	15.3	16.2	-0.95
Maurice Evans	61	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-3	1	16.1	17.6	-1.53	15.3	15.7	-0.48
Ronald Murray	19	21	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.09	-17	12	-29	18.6	16.1	2.52	14.0	15.8	-1.84
Al Horford	67	67	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.33	-11	6	-17	16.6	16.6	-0.05	16.1	13.5	2.66

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kapono	43	42	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.26	15	-10	25	15.3	15.5	-0.17	16.1	17.0	-0.95
Kris Humphries	36	34	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.12	14	-9	23	15.2	15.6	-0.37	17.0	16.4	0.61
Joey Graham	47	42	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	4	-3	14.5	16.4	-1.83	14.5	18.4	-3.92
Will Solomon	11	13	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	-4	13	15.5	15.4	0.15	14.2	17.0	-2.77
Andrea Bargnani	41	42	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	-3	11	16.0	15.0	0.97	17.2	16.0	1.17
Chris Bosh	82	82	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.42	-4	9	-13	15.7	12.8	2.93	16.6	16.9	-0.28
Jose Calderon	72	68	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	3	-1	15.2	16.2	-0.94	17.4	14.1	3.21
Roko Leni Ukic	8	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	11	-17	17.0	15.3	1.73	14.0	16.9	-2.85
Jamario Moon	50	50	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	6	-7	15.8	15.0	0.85	17.1	16.0	1.11
Anthony Parker	65	64	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.17	-13	18	-31	15.2	15.8	-0.60	17.3	14.7	2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.66,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 89, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.6,0.62,0.82,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%
WAS 105, BOS 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.6,0.74,0.82,0.94,0.89,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%
MEM 89, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.9,0.95,1	93.2%