NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	85		Excitement	6.9 [437]		MVP	Hubert Davis (DAL): +30.4%
Dallas Mavericks	95		Comeback	6.7 [199]		LVP	Cedric Ceballos (DAL): -23.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.05	-0.04	15	40%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.11	-0.02	19	47%	0.03	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	8	44%	-0.06	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Rider	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	28	39%	-0.16	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Alan Henderson	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.07	0.00	12	41%	-0.14	3	-0.07	8	37%	-0.07

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.15	0.15	-0.00	7	100%	0.30	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.04	-0.02	19	67%	0.18	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	14	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	-0.06	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.19,-0.25,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.13	-0.10	0.01	15	43%	-0.08	4	-0.15	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.4	26.8	15.7	27.6	2.2	35.4	133.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +64.6%

DAL +9.9%

ATL -27.1%

DAL +2.8%

ATL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DAL	NBA	ATL	DAL	NBA
this game	15.9	14.7	15.2	90.4	101.1	101.7
season	15.4	14.8		99.3	104.2
opponent	14.8	15.2		104.6	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.6	18.3	15.8	16.2	15.9
DAL	15.2	14.4	16.2	13.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Rider	86	87	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-12	14	15.6	19.1	-3.53	14.9	13.1	1.73
Lorenzen Wright	5	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.10	-8	-2	-6	14.6	16.0	-1.37	15.5	14.7	0.81
Anthony Johnson	44	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-7	4	15.0	16.7	-1.72	14.3	15.1	-0.84
Dikembe Mutombo	79	80	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.31	2	-12	14	16.9	10.5	6.46	14.9	13.6	1.38
Bimbo Coles	62	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.12	-9	-1	-8	16.0	15.7	0.27	14.4	15.4	-0.96
Jim Jackson	80	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-5	0	15.5	18.0	-2.47	14.9	14.1	0.73
LaPhonso Ellis	43	42	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	1	-12	15.2	16.5	-1.30	13.7	15.6	-1.91
Alan Henderson	71	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.09	-18	8	-26	16.5	13.9	2.62	15.4	13.0	2.40

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hubert Davis	55	56	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.32	18	-8	26	14.5	15.1	-0.52	16.1	15.6	0.48
Greg Buckner	41	40	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.14	22	-12	34	13.7	15.5	-1.84	16.5	15.4	1.10
Michael Finley	89	89	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.27	12	-2	14	14.7	15.8	-1.11	15.9	15.2	0.73
Shawn Bradley	41	42	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.50	2	8	-6	15.5	14.1	1.40	17.3	14.7	2.56
Cedric Ceballos	68	67	0.49	0.00	0.49	0.29	7	3	4	15.0	14.0	1.03	16.2	15.0	1.20
Sean Rooks	34	34	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.06	-3	13	-16	14.5	14.9	-0.34	15.4	16.1	-0.71
Damon Jones	10	9	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.05	-4	14	-18	14.6	14.8	-0.16	17.7	15.7	1.96
Erick Strickland	54	54	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.25	1	9	-8	14.7	14.8	-0.14	14.8	17.4	-2.67
Dirk Nowitzki	78	79	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.12	-5	15	-20	15.0	13.5	1.50	15.1	20.0	-4.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.47,0.59,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 111, NYK 118	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.22,0.21,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.17,0.32,0.47,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.93,0.97,1,1	92.7%
NJN 77, SAS 88	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.27,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.36,0.65,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	91.5%
WAS 103, NYK 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1	91.4%