NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	111		Excitement	7.1 [435]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +40.8%
New York Knicks	118		Comeback	11.0 [198]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -17.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.03	0.01	11	75%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	-0.01	0.13	-0.03	8	50%	0.20	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	17	58%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Myles Turner	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.06	0.00	14	58%	0.06	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	13	49%	0.01	1	-0.04	9	78%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Paul George	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	16	44%	-0.07	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.23	0.18	0.01	25	67%	0.41	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.05	0.17	-0.01	15	62%	0.31	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.02	18	56%	0.14	4	-0.09	7	86%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.0	32.2	15.8	23.4	2.7	33.0	134.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +76.1%

IND -16.1%

IND -7.0%

IND -5.0%

NYK +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	13.8	13.4	14.8	104.7	111.3	107.7
season	14.9	15.0		107.5	106.6
opponent	14.7	14.8		110.0	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	11.8	13.9	15.4	14.4	13.8
NYK	13.5	12.3	13.4	14.4	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	25	24	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.09	1	-8	9	14.1	13.7	0.44	13.3	13.4	-0.07
Glenn Robinson	75	74	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.00	4	-11	15	13.5	14.5	-0.94	13.6	12.8	0.82
Al Jefferson	33	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-7	7	14.5	13.4	1.11	13.1	13.5	-0.47
Thaddeus Young	80	81	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-6	5	13.4	15.0	-1.56	13.7	12.5	1.13
Lavoy Allen	26	25	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-1	-5	15.0	13.4	1.56	12.5	13.7	-1.13
Myles Turner	73	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	0	-7	13.4	14.5	-1.11	13.5	13.1	0.47
CJ Miles	57	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	2	-11	14.3	13.2	1.04	12.9	14.0	-1.14
Paul George	80	79	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.34	-9	2	-11	13.7	14.0	-0.34	13.5	13.0	0.57
Jeff Teague	81	82	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.38	-8	1	-9	13.7	14.1	-0.44	13.4	13.3	0.07

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kristaps Porzingis	77	75	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.35	11	-4	15	13.2	13.9	-0.65	13.7	14.1	-0.44
Brandon Jennings	46	47	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-3	13	13.6	13.2	0.32	14.2	13.5	0.73
Derrick Rose	80	79	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-3	13	13.4	13.3	0.05	13.7	14.0	-0.34
Justin Holiday	44	46	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.13	16	-9	25	13.0	13.7	-0.66	15.2	12.7	2.53
Joakim Noah	68	66	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.31	0	7	-7	13.5	13.2	0.23	13.4	14.4	-1.03
Kyle O'Quinn	34	37	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.08	9	-2	11	12.9	13.6	-0.79	15.0	13.1	1.87
Willy Hernangomez	5	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	11	-15	13.8	13.4	0.43	14.6	13.7	0.86
Courtney Lee	82	80	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.14	0	7	-7	13.4	13.5	-0.09	13.7	14.1	-0.44
Carmelo Anthony	82	82	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	14	-21	13.7	12.3	1.42	13.0	16.5	-3.46
Lance Thomas	12	13	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.07	-10	17	-27	14.0	13.3	0.69	12.3	14.0	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.22,0.21,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.17,0.32,0.47,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.93,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 85, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.47,0.59,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.98,1,1	92.7%
ATL 98, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.3,0.53,0.53,0.75,0.93,0.99,1,1	91.9%
ATL 115, OKC 123	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.32,0.24,0.18,0.12,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.47,0.54,0.78,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1	91.5%