NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	98		Excitement	4.6 [873]		MVP	Terry Porter (SAS): +8.4%
Vancouver Grizzlies	88		Comeback	1.6 [1040]		LVP	Othella Harrington (VAN): -13.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	67%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
David Robinson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	63%	0.07	1	-0.03	12	92%	0.03
Antonio Daniels	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	70%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jaren Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	24	55%	0.06	5	-0.10	10	80%	0.01
Avery Johnson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.15	0.00	0.09	15	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	15	56%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.03	15	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	6	29%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Bryant Reeves	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	11	42%	-0.03	5	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.3	27.6	15.7	30.3	2.4	31.6	132.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +21.8%

SAS +13.2%

SAS +14.3%

SAS +1.5%

VAN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	VAN	NBA	SAS	VAN	NBA
this game	14.8	16.7	15.2	106.5	96.7	101.7
season	15.5	15.9		101.6	99.5
opponent	15.0	15.4		105.9	95.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.2	12.9	16.4	15.4	14.8
VAN	18.5	18.4	12.9	17.3	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	85	83	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	2	6	14.8	14.4	0.38	17.0	13.9	3.10
Antonio Daniels	32	29	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	-1	12	13.9	15.2	-1.34	18.1	16.0	2.11
Terry Porter	46	46	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	1	8	13.6	16.0	-2.43	17.8	15.6	2.27
Mario Elie	64	64	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	4	2	15.1	14.0	1.07	16.8	16.5	0.26
David Robinson	56	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	6	-2	15.4	13.9	1.47	16.4	17.3	-0.94
Malik Rose	40	37	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	2	6	13.9	15.5	-1.56	16.9	16.6	0.36
Jerome Kersey	27	26	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	6	-2	13.9	15.2	-1.26	16.7	16.7	0.04
Jaren Jackson	47	46	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	9	-8	16.0	13.5	2.58	15.5	18.0	-2.52
Avery Johnson	60	62	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.15	-1	11	-12	15.2	13.9	1.34	16.0	18.1	-2.11
Samaki Walker	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	15.0	14.8	0.22	14.0	16.8	-2.83

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	43	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-9	8	16.4	17.0	-0.63	15.7	13.9	1.85
Felipe Lopez	11	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-5	0	14.5	17.0	-2.56	11.2	15.3	-4.06
Milt Palacio	8	10	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-2	-6	24.1	16.0	8.14	13.6	14.9	-1.33
Bryant Reeves	68	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-8	6	16.1	18.4	-2.26	15.6	12.4	3.20
Grant Long	48	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.13	-4	-6	2	16.6	16.8	-0.25	14.6	15.0	-0.33
Michael Dickerson	77	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-8	6	16.7	16.7	-0.01	15.2	12.8	2.37
Cherokee Parks	19	20	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	0	-10	20.2	15.8	4.37	12.1	15.5	-3.43
Mike Bibby	83	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-8	6	16.0	24.1	-8.14	14.9	13.6	1.33
Dennis Scott	30	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	-2	-6	15.7	17.2	-1.50	13.3	15.5	-2.20
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	68	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-2	-6	17.4	14.6	2.80	15.1	14.0	1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.22,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 109, DAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
DAL 99, SAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
UTA 99, TOR 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.33,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.3%