NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	4.2 [998]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +12.1%
Toronto Raptors	84		Comeback	1.7 [365]		LVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): -10.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.19	0.02	0.09	16	67%	0.12	0	0.00	11	82%	-0.01
Andre Owens	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	10	68%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.03	-0.05	11	58%	0.13	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Kris Humphries	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	47%	0.02	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Greg Ostertag	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.01	0.01	5	56%	0.02	4	-0.08	6	50%	-0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.01	0.05	10	75%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	10	52%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	10	58%	0.05	1	-0.03	13	85%	0.03
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	57%	0.02	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Joey Graham	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	12	48%	-0.02	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	27.3	15.7	31.2	2.7	32.2	135.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +46.9%

TOR -2.9%

UTA +13.3%

TOR -7.1%

TOR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	TOR	NBA	UTA	TOR	NBA
this game	18.6	14.1	15.6	112.5	95.5	104.4
season	17.0	15.6		101.7	107.3
opponent	15.4	15.0		110.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.0	20.6	18.2	17.1	18.6
TOR	14.6	16.2	11.8	14.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	77	76	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.00	21	-6	27	18.4	20.5	-2.08	14.3	12.7	1.55
Andre Owens	43	42	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-3	21	18.7	18.6	0.17	15.1	13.2	1.97
Deron Williams	50	49	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.02	16	-1	17	17.7	19.9	-2.26	14.8	13.3	1.50
Kris Humphries	15	17	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	8	-1	16.5	19.1	-2.54	14.6	14.0	0.69
Mehmet Okur	69	68	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	11	-7	18.7	18.6	0.07	13.3	16.8	-3.51
Matt Harpring	32	31	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	11	-7	20.1	17.8	2.29	14.1	14.1	0.06
Jarron Collins	37	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	9	-3	19.4	18.1	1.28	15.5	13.0	2.53
Greg Ostertag	34	34	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.05	3	12	-9	17.9	19.1	-1.13	13.3	14.6	-1.30
Gordan Giricek	45	46	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	18	-21	18.6	18.7	-0.17	13.2	15.1	-1.97
Keith McLeod	31	32	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	16	-17	19.0	18.5	0.51	13.7	14.3	-0.58
Milt Palacio	7	7	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	15	-15	24.1	18.2	5.98	11.1	14.3	-3.20

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	21	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-15	15	12.8	14.5	-1.68	18.5	18.7	-0.18
Joey Graham	35	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-14	13	12.5	15.2	-2.67	19.3	18.2	1.13
Mike James	40	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-8	1	13.3	14.8	-1.50	18.5	18.7	-0.23
Matt Bonner	57	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-8	1	14.3	13.7	0.64	18.1	19.5	-1.45
Jose Calderon	48	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-7	-1	14.8	13.3	1.50	18.7	18.5	0.23
Chris Bosh	81	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-7	-1	13.7	18.4	-4.71	18.8	16.2	2.65
Morris Peterson	35	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-1	-13	15.9	12.9	2.93	18.4	18.8	-0.35
Charlie Villanueva	45	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	1	-17	14.6	13.6	1.00	19.1	18.1	0.94
Jalen Rose	78	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	-1	-13	14.3	12.4	1.91	18.4	20.4	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.33,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 109, DAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
MIA 98, DET 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
SAC 122, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.27,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%