NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	97		Excitement	5.6 [686]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +15.7%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	2.2 [818]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (BOS): -16.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	70%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Walter McCarty	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	58%	0.01	2	-0.06	12	92%	0.04
Calbert Cheaney	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	10	52%	-0.00	4	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	21	50%	-0.05	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Kenny Anderson	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	21	41%	-0.09	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.05	0.00	10	82%	0.21	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	7	88%	0.14	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	73%	0.04	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
John Wallace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	11	61%	0.06	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.03,0,0,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.00	20	55%	0.05	2	-0.09	7	57%	-0.04
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	0.01	-0.03	11	33%	-0.06	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	29.4	15.4	26.6	2.5	45.2	146.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +54.9%

NYK +3.4%

BOS -28.0%

NYK +1.9%

NYK +17.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	16.4	14.5	15.2	104.3	106.5	101.7
season	14.7	16.1		102.4	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.1		98.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.0	18.2	18.0	15.7	16.4
NYK	14.2	11.8	17.1	15.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	49	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.17	3	-5	8	16.0	16.9	-0.93	14.9	14.1	0.78
Walter McCarty	9	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	3	-8	18.8	16.2	2.61	13.2	14.7	-1.51
Vitaly Potapenko	57	57	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.43	9	-11	20	15.4	18.1	-2.71	14.3	15.0	-0.74
Dana Barros	18	16	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	0	-2	17.7	16.1	1.62	13.7	14.7	-1.04
Kenny Anderson	80	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.46	5	-7	12	15.6	21.3	-5.68	14.4	15.4	-1.04
Calbert Cheaney	46	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	4	-10	16.2	16.6	-0.36	14.7	14.4	0.25
Antoine Walker	87	87	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.47	4	-6	10	16.3	18.0	-1.69	14.9	9.2	5.75
Tony Battie	38	37	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	11	-24	18.3	15.1	3.12	14.8	14.4	0.35
Adrian Griffin	81	82	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	3	-8	17.0	12.4	4.60	14.5	15.3	-0.82

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	50	49	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.02	22	-20	42	14.2	14.9	-0.71	17.8	14.9	2.82
Chris Childs	40	42	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.33	3	-1	4	14.7	14.4	0.35	15.4	17.3	-1.89
Marcus Camby	38	39	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	-5	12	13.9	15.0	-1.02	16.6	16.3	0.29
Larry Johnson	71	71	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.33	-1	3	-4	14.8	13.8	0.96	16.5	16.0	0.49
Patrick Ewing	55	56	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.42	-4	6	-10	15.2	13.6	1.64	16.2	16.8	-0.56
Latrell Sprewell	82	81	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.47	-6	8	-14	14.5	15.3	-0.82	15.5	22.9	-7.46
Charlie Ward	53	51	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	3	-4	14.4	14.7	-0.35	17.3	15.4	1.89
John Wallace	3	3	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	-2	6	10.0	14.7	-4.70	18.0	16.4	1.63
Allan Houston	72	73	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.41	-12	14	-26	14.8	13.6	1.20	16.5	16.1	0.34
Chris Dudley	1	0	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	4	-6	3.0	14.7	-11.67	0.0	16.4	-16.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.89,0.79,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 79, LAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
PHX 98, MIA 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
CLE 82, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.78,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%