inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Phoenix Suns 98 Excitement5.3 [754] MVPTyler Johnson (MIA): +14.5%
Miami Heat 115 Comeback1.7 [732] LVPBrandon Knight (PHX): -12.9%


Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.09-0.000.011065%0.101-0.031164%0.01
PJ Tucker0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.03-0.011367%0.165-0.10475%0.01
Alex Len0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.01950%0.0100.002100%0.01
Marcus Thornton0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00267%0.031-0.032100%0.01
Earl Barron0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandan Wright0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
TJ Warren-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.01250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Archie Goodwin-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00150%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Markieff Morris-0.030,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.020.011057%0.053-0.0830%-0.05
Gerald Green-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01721%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Marcus Morris-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.001234%-0.062-0.06850%-0.05
Brandon Knight-0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.011243%0.015-0.13683%-0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.190.010.051390%0.243-0.093100%0.01
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.030.05-0.011060%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Goran Dragic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.130.050.09978%0.101-0.029100%0.08
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.01-0.011263%0.102-0.03333%-0.02
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00075%0.0200.00475%0.01
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.00-0.00-0.011146%0.0000.00450%-0.01
Henry Walker00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shabazz Napier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Zoran Dragic00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Ennis00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.000.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01841%0.002-0.051100%0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.110.01-0.031938%0.014-0.08450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.11.838.016.642.42.731.3162.8
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +32.9%
MIA +1.7%
PHX -1.7%
MIA +13.1%
MIA +4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHXMIANBAPHXMIANBA
this game13.415.415.198.0115.0104.2
season14.416.0103.7102.4
opponent15.315.0105.4104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHX15.213.711.113.713.4
MIA16.912.017.715.715.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Earl Barron45-0.07-0.430.370.05-4-13911.013.5-2.4814.415.5-1.07
Gerald Green3029-0.10-0.400.29-0.100-171712.613.7-1.1616.714.91.84
Archie Goodwin1211-0.11-0.390.290.01-4-13914.413.21.1812.515.8-3.33
Markieff Morris4444-0.13-0.370.24-0.10-1-161514.212.71.5115.915.10.83
Alex Len5655-0.14-0.360.22-0.11-1-161513.912.71.2915.715.10.52
Brandan Wright66-0.15-0.350.190.05-7-10315.513.22.269.715.8-6.12
Eric Bledsoe6970-0.16-0.340.170.01-6-11513.014.2-1.1816.213.72.50
Marcus Thornton1213-0.17-0.330.160.03-7-10313.813.30.529.816.3-6.41
PJ Tucker8483-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.09-6-11513.214.4-1.2616.311.15.25
TJ Warren3032-0.28-0.22-0.070.16-15-2-1314.013.10.9314.415.9-1.44
Brandon Knight8383-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.05-10-7-313.214.1-0.8916.012.53.55
Marcus Morris7069-0.570.07-0.650.13-247-3112.914.4-1.4614.417.7-3.37

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Beasley57560.54-0.040.58-0.1122-52714.217.0-2.7313.413.30.11
Tyler Johnson55570.430.070.35-0.1319-22114.716.3-1.5812.614.4-1.78
Luol Deng77780.310.190.120.19413-916.212.73.5913.612.51.19
Dwyane Wade68670.310.190.11-0.111431116.113.92.2713.113.9-0.74
Mario Chalmers50470.300.200.100.0498114.816.0-1.1614.812.12.74
Chris Andersen31330.190.31-0.120.10314-1113.916.1-2.1512.713.7-1.02
Hassan Whiteside52510.160.34-0.190.04413-916.214.61.6114.012.71.35
Henry Walker25280.140.36-0.220.02413-913.915.9-2.0013.313.4-0.13
Udonis Haslem41390.050.45-0.41-0.04314-1117.114.22.9313.213.5-0.37
Goran Dragic31310.050.45-0.41-0.16710-315.815.30.5113.413.4-0.04
Shabazz Napier670.040.46-0.420.10-219-2114.315.5-1.1611.313.5-2.25
Zoran Dragic440.000.50-0.500.09-320-2314.015.5-1.4810.513.5-3.00
James Ennis320.000.50-0.50-0.03116-1514.015.5-1.4611.513.4-1.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 93, DAL 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,195.2%
NYK 82, MIA 970.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,195.0%
WAS 84, PHI 1000.5,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.85,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,194.9%