NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	79		Excitement	4.0 [1028]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (LAL): +6.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	92		Comeback	2.2 [845]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -22.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	19	53%	0.05	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	1	150%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.02	22	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	19	45%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	4	10%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.19	-0.05	-0.01	12	0%	-0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	13	68%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	19	49%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	18	46%	-0.00	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.4	27.8	16.8	23.7	2.7	27.3	121.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +44.2%

POR -6.0%

LAL +10.5%

POR -2.3%

LAL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	16.4	15.8	15.5	87.8	103.4	104.0
season	15.8	15.7		101.2	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.6		108.8	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.7	17.6	15.0	16.3	16.4
LAL	13.9	15.1	17.8	16.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Viktor Khryapa	22	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-10	7	16.3	16.4	-0.11	16.4	15.6	0.84
Travis Outlaw	5	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-8	3	19.8	16.2	3.60	17.7	15.6	2.03
Richie Frahm	8	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-6	-1	17.0	16.3	0.66	14.4	15.9	-1.54
Joel Przybilla	51	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-6	-1	15.9	17.1	-1.15	14.5	17.3	-2.86
Sebastian Telfair	21	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-2	-9	18.0	15.9	2.09	12.1	16.9	-4.75
Ruben Patterson	76	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-10	7	15.7	20.2	-4.52	15.9	15.4	0.50
Nick Van Exel	72	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-12	11	15.9	18.3	-2.42	16.8	11.5	5.25
Damon Stoudamire	79	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-6	-1	16.4	16.7	-0.37	16.0	14.5	1.47
Theo Ratliff	65	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-4	-5	16.7	15.7	0.94	15.8	15.7	0.03
Zach Randolph	51	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	-1	-11	17.3	15.2	2.11	16.4	15.0	1.43

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	32	34	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.10	19	-6	25	13.9	16.8	-2.92	17.4	15.8	1.63
Brian Cook	27	28	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.08	17	-4	21	14.0	16.6	-2.60	17.8	15.8	2.01
Brian Grant	24	26	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.12	18	-5	23	13.7	16.6	-2.89	17.9	15.8	2.14
Tierre Brown	36	37	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	1	11	16.6	15.2	1.31	17.3	15.8	1.48
Caron Butler	75	75	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	9	-5	15.6	16.8	-1.20	15.9	18.7	-2.72
Jumaine Jones	51	52	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	7	-1	16.3	15.1	1.12	16.8	15.8	1.01
Chucky Atkins	73	72	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.24	-2	15	-17	16.1	14.4	1.63	15.6	19.4	-3.81
Chris Mihm	59	58	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	16	-19	16.3	14.8	1.52	16.1	17.0	-0.93
Lamar Odom	62	62	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.20	-4	17	-21	16.6	14.0	2.60	15.8	17.8	-2.01
Slava Medvedenko	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	19.2	15.5	3.64	13.0	16.6	-3.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 82, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.78,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
CHI 83, ORL 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.79,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
LAL 84, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%