inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 83 Excitement4.2 [953] MVPDwight Howard (ORL): +14.2%
Orlando Magic 115 Comeback1.9 [1072] LVPHedo Turkoglu (ORL): -9.5%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Gordon0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.03-0.01-0.031350%0.0500.0000%0.00
Kirk Hinrich0.020,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.020.011268%0.093-0.07475%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.00-0.05450%0.022-0.0000%0.00
Demetris Nichols0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cedric Simmons0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyrus Thomas-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.01753%0.012-0.03580%0.01
Andres Nocioni-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.01-0.021033%0.001-0.031100%0.00
Larry Hughes-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.00837%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Joakim Noah-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.01250%0.003-0.0500%0.00
Chris Duhon-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0110%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Aaron Gray-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.010.021154%0.023-0.07250%-0.01
Luol Deng-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.11-0.00-0.051027%-0.022-0.042100%0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwight Howard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.160.010.021570%0.193-0.051346%-0.04
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.010.023133%0.0900.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.010.00575%0.0800.002100%0.01
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.01-0.02881%0.123-0.0500%0.00
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03362%0.0000.002100%0.00
James Augustine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01450%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Rashard Lewis0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.000.041664%0.085-0.091100%0.00
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.00627%-0.0500.0030%-0.05
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00933%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.00-0.001535%-0.062-0.044100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.61.832.815.727.62.326.7133.5
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +31.7%
CHI -1.3%
ORL +9.3%
ORL +7.2%
ORL +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIORLNBACHIORLNBA
this game13.214.515.479.0111.7105.7
season15.015.1102.2109.9
opponent15.615.5104.6105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI11.914.513.812.813.2
ORL13.813.714.516.014.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Demetris Nichols1090.00-0.500.500.26-9-231410.813.5-2.6818.314.14.23
Cedric Simmons1090.00-0.500.500.26-9-231410.813.5-2.6818.314.14.23
Larry Hughes5152-0.03-0.470.440.06-3-292614.112.41.7714.214.7-0.46
Luol Deng6969-0.09-0.410.31-0.090-323213.113.6-0.5014.414.6-0.21
Aaron Gray4646-0.12-0.380.25-0.03-3-292613.612.90.6815.413.71.65
Kirk Hinrich5555-0.13-0.370.23-0.161-333413.912.51.4314.214.8-0.63
Joakim Noah3535-0.18-0.320.130.17-12-20813.713.00.7714.114.7-0.59
Tyrus Thomas6058-0.19-0.310.120.13-11-211013.113.3-0.1813.815.4-1.64
Chris Duhon2926-0.32-0.18-0.140.21-18-14-413.213.20.0212.715.1-2.44
Andres Nocioni4343-0.42-0.08-0.330.17-20-12-813.912.71.1914.014.8-0.86
Ben Gordon6260-0.46-0.04-0.410.54-342-3612.514.3-1.8215.213.51.73
Thabo Sefolosha5553-0.550.05-0.610.68-4210-5212.514.0-1.4714.514.40.07

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Arroyo56560.62-0.120.74-0.6443-115414.514.40.0512.713.8-1.10
Dwight Howard71710.470.030.44-0.352842413.716.1-2.3914.510.53.99
Keyon Dooling34330.460.040.43-0.302662014.214.6-0.4514.812.52.27
Hedo Turkoglu71700.360.140.23-0.402662014.514.40.1014.011.62.44
Rashard Lewis85850.320.180.15-0.262012814.215.6-1.3113.213.4-0.21
Keith Bogans42450.300.200.110.04923-1413.815.0-1.2112.713.6-0.87
Adonal Foyle26270.050.45-0.41-0.01230-2815.514.11.4210.714.1-3.40
Maurice Evans62650.030.47-0.440.03032-3214.414.5-0.1012.714.1-1.41
Pat Garrity670.000.50-0.50-0.12428-2418.714.24.459.913.5-3.61
JJ Redick9100.000.50-0.50-0.26923-1418.314.14.2310.813.5-2.68
James Augustine670.000.50-0.50-0.12428-2418.714.24.459.913.5-3.61
Jameer Nelson4749-0.120.62-0.740.20-1143-5414.414.5-0.0513.812.71.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.79,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 85, UTA 1070.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.83,0.92,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
CLE 82, DAL 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.78,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
NOH 90, MIA 1060.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.38,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,195.3%