inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 85 Excitement3.7 [1045] MVPMorris Peterson (TOR): +7.6%
Utah Jazz 107 Comeback1.7 [1208] LVPJerome Williams (TOR): -7.8%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Morris Peterson0.080,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.05-0.00-0.031358%0.0800.005100%0.02
Greg Foster0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jermaine Jackson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01260%0.001-0.001100%0.00
Voshon Lenard-0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.010.031553%0.011-0.024100%0.02
Nate Huffman-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.03337%-0.0210.00250%0.00
Jelani McCoy-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.01952%-0.0200.00743%-0.04
Alvin Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.000.041264%0.044-0.081100%0.00
Michael Bradley-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Chris Jefferies-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.01530%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Lindsey Hunter-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.12-0.01-0.05436%-0.024-0.05367%-0.00
Jerome Williams-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.010.00425%-0.0800.00425%-0.04

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.05-0.00-0.001071%0.092-0.03875%-0.01
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.00673%0.071-0.023100%0.01
Tony Massenburg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.02669%0.0220.00475%0.00
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.010.03967%0.032-0.0200%0.00
John Stockton0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.01654%0.0000.0010%-0.02
Karl Malone0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.011463%0.084-0.081080%0.01
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Amaechi00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.011100%0.022-0.052100%0.01
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.01-0.01733%-0.0400.00450%-0.01
Mark Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.000.01844%-0.023-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.82.427.315.028.21.726.2125.5
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +25.9%
UTA +2.1%
UTA +10.6%
UTA +4.8%
UTA +6.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORUTANBATORUTANBA
this game16.615.815.595.5120.2101.6
season16.216.398.8103.1
opponent15.315.3101.1105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR18.117.314.716.416.6
UTA15.316.216.614.915.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jermaine Jackson1313-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-201815.416.8-1.4215.515.8-0.26
Jelani McCoy4746-0.16-0.340.19-0.04-4-181416.317.0-0.7215.715.9-0.19
Greg Foster3232-0.18-0.320.140.14-11-11015.717.1-1.4715.216.1-0.90
Jerome Williams6464-0.20-0.300.110.10-10-12216.915.90.9415.915.40.45
Morris Peterson6160-0.20-0.300.10-0.02-6-161016.417.0-0.6415.716.0-0.30
Voshon Lenard6467-0.20-0.300.090.00-7-15816.417.1-0.7315.915.30.59
Nate Huffman2425-0.21-0.290.08-0.00-7-15817.116.40.7215.715.8-0.06
Chris Jefferies2222-0.23-0.270.040.04-9-13417.216.40.8415.216.0-0.77
Michael Bradley1111-0.26-0.24-0.020.09-12-10-218.116.41.7117.215.61.62
Alvin Williams6969-0.43-0.07-0.360.15-20-2-1816.517.0-0.5916.413.62.73
Lindsey Hunter3836-0.43-0.07-0.370.21-220-2217.615.91.6714.916.3-1.42

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrei Kirilenko51520.55-0.050.60-0.3330-83815.715.8-0.0917.415.51.94
Scott Padgett46460.490.010.48-0.2425-32815.216.4-1.1816.217.0-0.78
Tony Massenburg40410.440.060.38-0.2423-12415.515.9-0.3916.716.50.21
Mark Jackson49490.430.070.36-0.3025-32815.516.1-0.6618.014.93.13
Calbert Cheaney65640.400.100.29-0.131841416.314.41.8416.816.00.83
Karl Malone53520.140.36-0.220.08220-1816.215.11.0516.916.10.83
John Stockton31310.070.43-0.360.10-123-2416.815.21.5514.917.5-2.55
Matt Harpring44450.050.45-0.400.08-123-2416.015.50.4716.416.8-0.49
Carlos Arroyo990.000.50-0.500.06-224-2613.916.0-2.0914.716.8-2.15
DeShawn Stevenson1090.000.50-0.500.06-224-2613.816.0-2.2114.716.8-2.15
John Amaechi880.000.50-0.500.03-123-2413.116.0-2.9013.017.0-3.95
Greg Ostertag3939-0.070.57-0.640.11-628-3416.115.50.5616.516.7-0.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.83,0.92,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 76, MIA 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
BOS 85, CHI 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
UTA 77, POR 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,196.0%