NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	83		Excitement	4.1 [971]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +6.6%
Utah Jazz	101		Comeback	1.0 [1074]		LVP	Vernon Maxwell (SEA): -13.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	14	73%	0.10	6	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Vladimir Stepania	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lazaro Borrell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Emanual Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	5	55%	-0.01	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Brent Barry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	9	60%	-0.01	3	-0.03	7	57%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	5	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	47%	-0.01	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Vin Baker	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	0.00	15	34%	-0.09	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Vernon Maxwell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	9	41%	-0.03	5	-0.10	4	75%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	-0.00	-0.03	7	75%	0.09	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Karl Malone	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	14	57%	0.10	2	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	65%	0.07	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	15	58%	0.05	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	12	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	13	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.0	30.1	15.5	23.2	1.6	30.5	127.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +27.3%

SEA -1.6%

UTA +13.6%

UTA +11.4%

SEA -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	14.3	17.5	15.2	93.3	109.8	101.7
season	14.9	16.3		103.5	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.4		100.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.9	15.0	14.4	13.7	14.3
UTA	18.0	15.6	19.0	17.6	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Stepania	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	10.7	14.4	-3.70	16.6	17.5	-0.94
Lazaro Borrell	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	14.0	14.3	-0.30	16.6	17.5	-0.94
Horace Grant	22	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-16	14	13.9	14.4	-0.49	18.0	17.3	0.68
Emanual Davis	25	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-14	10	11.2	15.5	-4.28	16.7	17.8	-1.16
Rashard Lewis	39	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.09	-1	-17	16	12.9	15.4	-2.51	17.2	17.7	-0.54
Brent Barry	61	63	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-14	10	15.2	12.2	2.96	18.2	15.9	2.28
Greg Foster	29	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-9	0	15.0	13.9	1.12	15.9	18.2	-2.31
Jelani McCoy	34	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.15	-14	-4	-10	14.9	13.9	0.97	17.2	17.7	-0.43
Vernon Maxwell	40	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	-5	-8	13.2	15.1	-1.92	17.2	17.7	-0.48
Ruben Patterson	38	37	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	-4	-10	16.3	12.7	3.60	17.8	17.3	0.45
Gary Payton	78	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.01	-15	-3	-12	14.2	15.1	-0.92	17.2	19.0	-1.76
Vin Baker	70	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-6	-6	14.7	12.7	1.96	18.4	14.5	3.90

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	77	75	0.68	-0.18	0.85	-0.09	26	-8	34	17.6	17.1	0.43	15.3	8.8	6.52
Karl Malone	73	71	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.07	20	-2	22	17.1	18.9	-1.84	14.7	12.4	2.30
John Stockton	55	53	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.13	22	-4	26	16.8	18.5	-1.62	15.2	12.9	2.24
Jeff Hornacek	69	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	6	6	17.5	17.6	-0.10	13.9	15.3	-1.32
Adam Keefe	34	32	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	8	2	15.9	18.4	-2.46	13.4	14.8	-1.41
Olden Polynice	25	25	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	14	-10	17.5	17.5	0.04	15.4	13.8	1.61
Quincy Lewis	26	27	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	15	-12	17.8	17.4	0.39	13.4	14.7	-1.25
Jacque Vaughn	13	11	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	16	-14	16.2	17.7	-1.47	17.0	13.9	3.10
Greg Ostertag	34	33	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	20	-22	19.1	16.6	2.49	13.0	15.1	-2.08
Pete Chilcutt	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	16.6	17.5	-0.94	10.7	14.4	-3.70
Howard Eisley	32	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	21	-24	18.7	16.8	1.89	11.8	15.6	-3.81
Scott Padgett	17	16	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	23	-28	19.4	17.1	2.36	13.9	14.4	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 74, SEA 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
SAS 85, HOU 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.69,0.76,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
ATL 66, BOS 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%