inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 66 Excitement3.3 [1113] MVPPaul Pierce (BOS): +6.3%
Boston Celtics 86 Comeback1.1 [1187] LVPJason Terry (ATL): -13.0%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ira Newble0.040,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.01-0.02757%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Paul Shirley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0640%0.0000.0000%0.00
Theo Ratliff-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02753%0.022-0.0410%-0.02
Dion Glover-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.080.00-0.0620%-0.021-0.0020%-0.01
Mike Wilks-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.0340%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.000.021144%-0.0500.00333%-0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.01-0.011651%0.024-0.07560%-0.02
Darvin Ham-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.13-0.01-0.09829%-0.034-0.031100%0.00
Dan Dickau-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00729%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Alan Henderson-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.000.03364%-0.032-0.04560%-0.02
Jason Terry-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.20-0.01-0.07922%-0.056-0.0800%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.100.010.051665%0.0600.001182%-0.01
Eric Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00-0.02664%0.042-0.03250%-0.01
Vin Baker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.02283%0.0100.00250%-0.01
J.R. Bremer0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.01-0.021050%0.0110.006100%0.01
Bruno Sundov00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shammond Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.01-0.04623%-0.0100.001100%0.01
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.100.00-0.09822%-0.011-0.002100%0.01
Kedrick Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.05350%0.003-0.022100%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.140.01-0.102340%0.014-0.05425%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.431.517.625.11.727.4129.9
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +22.1%
BOS +5.3%
ATL -2.0%
BOS +21.8%
BOS +2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLBOSNBAATLBOSNBA
this game16.516.615.576.797.7101.6
season15.115.699.599.3
opponent15.515.799.9103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.818.016.216.016.5
BOS17.716.215.117.516.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Shirley770.00-0.500.50-0.062-222419.416.23.2018.916.42.44
Nazr Mohammed4345-0.02-0.480.46-0.051-212214.718.2-3.4916.516.7-0.16
Dion Glover78-0.02-0.480.450.12-5-151016.116.5-0.3816.116.7-0.54
Dan Dickau4042-0.04-0.460.41-0.071-212215.517.4-1.8916.017.2-1.17
Mike Wilks2426-0.05-0.450.41-0.050-202018.115.92.2716.716.60.11
Ira Newble3839-0.22-0.280.060.19-14-6-817.615.61.9514.718.1-3.40
Darvin Ham4747-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.02-11-9-216.216.8-0.5617.815.32.52
Alan Henderson6263-0.36-0.14-0.230.02-13-7-616.416.7-0.3616.716.40.30
Shareef Abdur-Rahim6263-0.43-0.07-0.360.01-15-5-1016.516.30.2216.915.81.08
Jason Terry5151-0.48-0.02-0.460.16-222-2416.017.1-1.1017.016.10.97
Theo Ratliff4949-0.530.03-0.560.17-244-2817.615.02.5616.416.9-0.51

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antoine Walker74720.54-0.040.59-0.2226-63216.517.3-0.8016.516.40.07
Paul Pierce59590.410.090.32-0.182002016.317.2-0.8316.915.51.41
Vin Baker45450.380.120.270.03128418.015.12.8815.917.1-1.16
Walter McCarty49480.360.140.21-0.081551016.217.1-0.9216.915.91.02
J.R. Bremer66640.350.150.20-0.151731416.217.8-1.6117.114.62.49
Eric Williams53510.300.200.11-0.08137616.317.1-0.7416.716.20.44
Shammond Williams50490.220.28-0.060.07515-1016.317.1-0.8215.517.8-2.37
Kedrick Brown29280.070.43-0.370.01218-1616.116.9-0.8116.216.6-0.41
Bruno Sundov320.000.50-0.500.06-222-2429.016.212.829.016.7-7.67
Mikki Moore1212-0.130.63-0.770.10-828-3618.316.31.9916.416.5-0.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 85, SAS 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.2%
SEA 83, UTA 1010.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
HOU 96, ORL 1120.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%