NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	104		Excitement	7.4 [346]		MVP	Hubert Davis (DAL): +17.5%
Dallas Mavericks	95		Comeback	2.1 [208]		LVP	Robert Pack (DAL): -22.7%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Price	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	7	60%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dennis Scott	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.06	-0.02	11	46%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	18	54%	0.07	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	10	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Othella Harrington	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	12	53%	0.04	1	-0.05	6	67%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	19	53%	0.02	2	-0.06	11	82%	0.01
Felipe Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.11	0.00	4	87%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.02	-0.02	19	55%	0.04	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rick Hughes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	24	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	4	20%	-0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.16,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.12	-0.02	18	41%	-0.12	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.05
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	7	39%	-0.07	4	-0.16	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	24.2	14.8	23.2	2.5	40.8	130.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +21.3%

VAN +10.9%

VAN +21.5%

DAL -6.3%

VAN +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	DAL	NBA	VAN	DAL	NBA
this game	16.1	13.6	15.2	107.2	97.9	101.7
season	15.9	14.8		99.5	104.2
opponent	14.8	15.0		104.6	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	16.7	13.7	17.4	16.7	16.1
DAL	11.0	16.3	14.7	12.6	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Scott	55	57	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-3	15	15.8	16.5	-0.64	14.5	12.2	2.26
Othella Harrington	73	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.32	5	4	1	16.8	14.0	2.86	13.1	14.9	-1.79
Michael Dickerson	78	76	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.21	6	3	3	16.2	15.7	0.47	13.0	15.8	-2.79
Felipe Lopez	40	40	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.01	10	-1	11	14.6	17.1	-2.49	14.8	12.7	2.08
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	78	78	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	5	-1	16.3	15.3	0.99	13.1	15.6	-2.55
Brent Price	34	34	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	4	1	16.2	16.0	0.19	15.5	12.6	2.92
Mike Bibby	63	63	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	5	-1	16.0	16.2	-0.19	12.6	15.5	-2.92
Obinna Ekezie	23	24	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.07	5	4	1	14.0	16.8	-2.71	15.1	13.1	2.06
Cherokee Parks	41	42	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.09	-6	15	-21	17.3	15.3	2.00	13.1	13.9	-0.85

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Hughes	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	8.0	13.7	-5.69	11.5	16.2	-4.71
Sean Rooks	17	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.01	-1	-8	7	15.8	13.1	2.65	14.2	16.5	-2.32
Damon Jones	31	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-7	5	14.6	13.1	1.52	14.7	16.8	-2.03
Dirk Nowitzki	81	80	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-10	11	13.6	13.4	0.24	16.4	14.9	1.42
Shawn Bradley	59	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-4	-1	12.3	15.6	-3.33	17.3	14.2	3.13
Hubert Davis	53	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.19	-9	0	-9	15.2	11.7	3.47	15.4	17.1	-1.72
Robert Pack	59	58	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.23	-9	0	-9	12.8	14.8	-2.04	17.0	14.8	2.25
Michael Finley	97	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	13.6	0.0	13.58	16.1	0.0	16.11
Cedric Ceballos	86	85	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	2	-13	13.3	15.5	-2.12	15.9	17.5	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 95, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.1,0.04,0,0,0,0	93.7%
UTA 99, HOU 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.43,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0	92.9%
SAS 104, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.04,0	92.6%